Giants vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 15, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Commanders (7-5) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Giants (7-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 40 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The New York Giants (7-5) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (7-5) on Dec. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Landover.

The Commanders are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Giants vs. Commanders Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+4.5 -11040.5 -110+185
Commanders -4.5 -11040.5 -110-225

Giants vs. Commanders Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this Week 15 game with 62.3% confidence.

Giants vs Commanders Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 15 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • J.D. McKissic has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Commanders vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Isaiah Hodgins 35.5 -110 35.5 -120
Saquon Barkley 21.5 -115 21.5 -115
Darius Slayton 45.5 -120 45.5 -110
Jahan Dotson 31.5 -110 31.5 -120
Curtis Samuel 30.5 -115 30.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Commanders vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Daniel Jones 27.5 -115 27.5 -115
Saquon Barkley 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Taylor Heinicke 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 9-4 (+4.65 Units / 32.98% ROI).

  • Giants are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 37.46% ROI
  • Giants are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -19.16% ROI
  • Giants are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 10.45% ROI).

  • Commanders are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 36.91% ROI
  • Commanders are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -33.57% ROI
  • Commanders are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 25.17% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Giants are winless (0-2) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .312.

The Giants are winless (0-8-1) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .289.

The Giants are 5-3-1 (.556) when underdogs this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .356.

The Giants are winless (0-8) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .213.

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Commanders are 2-13 (.133) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Commanders are winless (0-3) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .312.

The Commanders are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .588.

The Commanders are 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .621.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders

The Commanders have run successful plays on just 19.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Giants have pressured opposing QBs on 26.4% of passing plays this season — fifth-best in NFL.

Commanders RBs have averaged 141.3 rushing yards per game since Week 11 — third-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 188.2 rushing yards per game since Week 11 — third-worst in NFL.

The Commanders have rushed the ball on 53.1% of plays from scrimmage since Week 11 — fourth-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 5.5 yards per carry since Week 11 — fifth-worst in NFL.

Giants TEs have just 32.1 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed an average ofjust 31.1 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — best in NFL.

The Giants have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 31.9% of pass attempts this season — second-worst in NFL. The Commanders have pressured opposing QBs on 28.2% of passing plays this season — second-best in NFL.

Giants TEs have 40 receptions in 12 games (just 3.3 per game) this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed just 3.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Giants ran successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants allowed a QB hit on 38% of pass attempts in Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Commanders have started 18 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Commanders threw the ball 30% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Commanders have been flagged 25 times for 10+ yards on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Commanders ran the ball on 66% of plays (46 carries/70 plays) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Giants defense allowed 6 TDs in Week 14 — most in NFL.

The Giants defense allowed 4 rushing TDs in Week 14 — most in NFL.

The Giants defense has forced 16 fumbles this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on 63 of 354 carries (18%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Commanders defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 404 attempts (4%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

The Commanders defense has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.