Giants vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 8

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Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens (14) runs the ball in front of Seattle Seahawks safety Julian Love, back, during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Seattle. The Steelers won 30-23. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:18 PM
  • The Steelers are -6.5 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
  • Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN2 | ESPN+

The New York Giants (2-5-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2-0) on Oct. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Giants vs. Steelers Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+6 -11036.5 -110+220
Steelers -6 -11036.5 -110-275

Giants vs. Steelers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Steelers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Jalin Hyatt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
George Pickens (PIT) 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
Malik Nabers (NYG) 64.5 -110 64.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Daniel Jones (NYG) 25.5 -110 25.5 -120
Najee Harris (PIT) 62.5 -115 62.5 -120
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 3-4 (-1.3 Units / -17.11% ROI).

  • Giants are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • Giants are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -72.9% ROI
  • Giants are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 5-2 (+2.7 Units / 34.84% ROI).

  • Steelers are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 32.81% ROI
  • Steelers are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Steelers are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants are 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have intercepted 25 passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-most in NFL.

The Giants are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .184.

The Giants are winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .272.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Steelers are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.

The Steelers are undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.

The Steelers are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .184.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Steelers have run successful plays on just 29.5% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on just 34.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.

Steelers RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on just 37.7% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 38.0% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 36.6% of plays they have ran since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.8% of plays since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 36.1% of plays they have ran against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 35.7% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants are averaging 11.4 drives per TD in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

The Giants have scored on 12% of their drives in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.

The Steelers have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Steelers ran 53% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Steelers have thrown the ball 41% of the time (455 Pass Attempts/1,115 plays) on Early Downs since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (5/20) in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants defense has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (31/231) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants defense sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (5/20) in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 3 times in Week 7 — T-most in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.

The Steelers defense has forced 12 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense has forced 12 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 52.5 in the red zone (102 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.5.

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About the Author

BetMGM Betting

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.