- The Steelers are -6.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN2 | ESPN+
The New York Giants (2-5-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2-0) on Oct. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Giants vs. Steelers Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Giants vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +6 -110 | 36.5 -110 | +220 |
| Steelers | -6 -110 | 36.5 -110 | -275 |
Giants vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Giants vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Jalin Hyatt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Giants
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens (PIT) | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | 64.5 -110 | 64.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Giants
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones (NYG) | 25.5 -110 | 25.5 -120 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -120 |
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 3-4 (-1.3 Units / -17.11% ROI).
- Giants are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -1.41% ROI
- Giants are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -72.9% ROI
- Giants are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 5-2 (+2.7 Units / 34.84% ROI).
- Steelers are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 32.81% ROI
- Steelers are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Steelers are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Giants are 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have intercepted 25 passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-most in NFL.
The Giants are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .184.
The Giants are winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .272.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
The Steelers are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Steelers are undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Steelers are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .184.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Steelers RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Steelers have run successful plays on just 29.5% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on just 34.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Steelers RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Giants have run successful plays on just 37.7% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 38.0% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Giants have been successful on just 36.6% of plays they have ran since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 39.8% of plays since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Giants have been successful on just 36.1% of plays they have ran against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 35.7% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Giants are averaging 11.4 drives per TD in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Giants have scored on 12% of their drives in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 34% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Steelers ran 53% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers have thrown the ball 41% of the time (455 Pass Attempts/1,115 plays) on Early Downs since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (5/20) in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Giants defense has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (31/231) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Giants defense sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (5/20) in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Giants defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 3 times in Week 7 — T-most in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has forced 12 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has forced 12 turnovers in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 52.5 in the red zone (102 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.5.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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