- The Giants are a 3.5-point home underdog against the Eagles.
- The Eagles have won nine straight road games following a home win.
- My Giants vs. Eagles prediction is for the Giants to cover the spread.
The Eagles will try to win their second straight game in Week 7, when they play a divisional road game against the 2-4 Giants.
Philly captured a 20-16 home win over the Browns in Week 6 off a Week 5 bye week. However, head coach Nick Sirianni’s squad has yet to capture consecutive victories this season.
The Giants dropped to 2-4 with a home defeat against the Bengals on Sunday Night Football. That ended a streak of three consecutive covers for the Giants.
Bet on Giants vs. Eagles and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 7 Odds: Giants vs. Eagles
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -3.5 (-105) | 43 (-110) | -185 |
| Giants | +3.5 (-115) | 43 (-110) | +150 |
Giants vs. Eagles Prediction
Based on New York’s strength defending the run along with a historically profitable betting system, my Giants vs. Eagles prediction is the Giants Spread (+3.5, -115).
Right now, this is just a lean. Part of me wants to wait to see if the number drifts back up, and I’m interested to know the status of Malik Nabers on Sunday.
If Nabers doesn’t play, I would need a better number on New York to get involved. However, the fact this moved from +4.5 on Sunday night to +3.5 on Monday tells me he’s likely to go.
Setting that aside, I question if the Giants defense is receiving the credit it deserves.
New York sits 11th in PFF’s defensive grades and ranks 10th in rush EPA per play allowed. Plus, they’re ninth in defensive pass EPA per play since Week 3.
That gives New York a favorable matchup against Philadelphia, a team that loves to run the ball.
But it’s a great sell-high spot on the Eagles.
Last week, the Eagles posted its second-worst rushing grade of the year against the Browns, a team 10 spots below the Giants in rush EPA per play.
On the other side of the ball, New York should exploit an Eagles defense that hid its flaws in Week 6.
The Eagles are 25th in defensive EPA per play and 14th in defensive success rate. Exclude Week 6 and they fall to 28th and 20th, respectively.
New York also matches a historically profitable system in this spot.
Since 2003, conference dogs in games 2-9 are 64% ATS, assuming three factors:
- The spread is between +1.5 and +6
- The closing total is between 37.5 and 44.5
- The opponent’s win streak is one or two games
When those teams fall between +1.5 and +3.5, they improve to 65.7% ATS, including 68.6% as a home underdog.
Giants vs. Eagles: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Friday for Giants vs. Eagles public betting data and insights.
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