- Based on preseason odds, the Indianapolis Colts are +155 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Indianapolis finished third in the AFC South last year but won six of their final nine games.
- Based on scheduling disadvantages, I predict the Colts will miss the playoffs.
Based on NFL odds and Colts playoff odds, the Indianapolis Colts are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
The Colts, who haven’t reached the postseason since 2020, are +145 to make the playoffs in 2024. That price implies a probability of 40.8%.
Conversely, head coach Shane Steichen’s team is -175 to miss the playoffs, an implied probability of 63.6%.
Prediction: Will the Indianapolis Colts Make the Playoffs?
I lean toward the Colts missing the playoffs in 2024-25.
The range of possible outcomes feels very broad for Indianapolis, who faces the seventh-easiest schedule in the league.
However, that schedule is counteracted by a horrible net rest edge. At a -17 net rest edge, the Colts are tied for the second-largest disadvantage in the league.
Indianapolis Colts Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +155 | 39.2% |
| Week 2 | +170 | 37% |
| Week 3 | +270 | 27% |
| Week 4 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 5 | +135 | 42.6% |
| Week 6 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 7 | +150 | 40% |
| Week 8 | +150 | 40% |
| Week 9 | +125 | 44.4% |
| Week 10 | +155 | 39.2% |
| Week 11 | +220 | 31.3% |
| Week 12 | +175 | 36.4% |
AFC South Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | -200 | 67.7% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +120 | 45.5% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +155 | 39.2% |
| Tennessee Titans | +400 | 20% |
When Was the Last Time the Indianapolis Colts Won the Super Bowl?
The Colts last won the Super Bowl in 2007 in a win over the Chicago Bears.
Indianapolis returned to the Super Bowl three years later in 2010, but fell to the New Orleans Saints. In franchise history, the Colts are 2-2 in four Super Bowls.
Indianapolis Colts Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 2 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 3 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 4 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 5 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 6 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 7 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 8 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 9 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 10 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 11 | +25000 | 0.40% |
| Week 12 | +15000 | 0.66% |
NFL Betting Odds at BetMGM
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