Jaguars vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16, TNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 22, 2022, 8:30 AM
  • The Jets (7-7) are -1 point favorites vs the Jaguars (6-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Jacksonville Jaguars (7-8) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (7-8) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in East Rutherford for Thursday Night Football.

The are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at ().

The Jaguars vs. Jets Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Jaguars vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars
Jets

Jaguars vs. Jets Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this Week 16 game with 51.7% confidence.

Jaguars vs Jets Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread this Week 16 with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Garrett Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Jaguars

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Travis Etienne +550
Zonovan Knight +700
Christian Kirk +900
Michael Carter +900
Garrett Wilson +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Jaguars

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Travis Etienne +110
Christian Kirk +140
Zonovan Knight +160
Garrett Wilson +200
Michael Carter +230

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jets vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Marvin Jones Jr. 19.5 -110 19.5 -120
Christian Kirk 49.5 -115 49.5 -120
Garrett Wilson 55.5 -115 55.5 -115
Tyler Conklin 20.5 -120 20.5 -110
C.J. Uzomah 9.5 -115 9.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jets vs Jaguars

Player Name Over Under
Zach Wilson 12.5 -110 12.5 -120
Trevor Lawrence 12.5 -115 12.5 -120
JaMycal Hasty 7.5 -120 7.5 -110
Travis Etienne 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Zonovan Knight 57.5 -115 57.5 -115
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -18.24% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -8.19% ROI
  • Jaguars are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.35 Units / 8.74% ROI
  • Jaguars are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 8-6 (+1.25 Units / 8.04% ROI).

  • Jets are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 40.06% ROI
  • Jets are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.95 Units / -32.04% ROI
  • Jets are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.8% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Jaguars are 3-5 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .772.

The Jaguars are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.

The Jaguars are 2-13 (.133) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Jaguars are 3-5 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .780.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jets were winless (0-8) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Jets are 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .557.

The Jets were 1-3 (.250) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

The Jets are 5-3 (.625) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .493.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets

The Jets have thrown the ball 66.7% of the time in the red zone since Week 12 — fourth-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 7 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since Week 12 — tied for second-most in NFL.

No Matchup notes for this Game

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Jaguars have run 41% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Jaguars ran 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jaguars ran 39% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jaguars ran successful plays on 70% of rush attempts in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Jets have run 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jets have committed 5 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Jets have faced a blitz 27% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Jets have started 15 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 60% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 37% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Jaguars defense averaged a turnover percentage of just 1% (9 / 1,067) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2%.

The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

Only 5% of the plays run against the Jets have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Jets defense allowed an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 18.0.

The Jets defense did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in Week 15 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 13.0.

The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.