- The Raiders are -1 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-11-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Paradise, NV.
The Raiders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Jaguars vs. Raiders Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | +1 -115 | 39.5 -105 | -105 |
| Raiders | -1 -105 | 39.5 -115 | -115 |
Jaguars vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 53% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Raiders vs Jaguars
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexander Mattison (LV) | +550 |
| Travis Etienne (Jac) | +750 |
| Tank Bigsby (Jac) | +750 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC) | +800 |
| Brock Bowers (LV) | +800 |
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+1.81 Units / 11% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars art 7-6 (+0.45 Units / 2.93% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -46.96% ROI
- Jaguars are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 5-8 (-3.95 Units / -25.32% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -55.48% ROI
- Raiders are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Raiders are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are 1-15 (.062) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .235.
The Jaguars are 2-8 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Raiders are 1-17 (.056) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.
The Raiders are 1-13 (.071) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .372.
The Raiders are winless (0-8) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are 1-6 (.143) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have a third down conversion rate of just 12.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 13.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Raiders ran just 24.6% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponents to runjust 32.1% of plays in their territory last week — 5th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have thrown the ball 57.5% of the time since the 2023 season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 7.1 yards per dropback since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 48.5% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed successful plays on 51.6% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Jaguars RBs have averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Jaguars RBs have averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have averaged just 15.6 offensive penalty yards per game (218/14) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.4.
The Jaguars have been flagged 33 times on offense this season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have been flagged 24 times for 10+ yards on offense since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.
The Jaguars have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have faced a blitz 23% of the time this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 16% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders have faced a blitz 197 times this season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense has allowed 7 TDs on first drive of the game this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of 133.1 on 3rd and long (61 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 81.2.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 63 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 88.2 open coverage (47 Pass Attempts) since Week 12 — best in NFL; League Avg: 124.0.
The Raiders defense blitzed on just 9% of plays last season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Raiders defense has allowed 6 TDs on first drive of the game this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Raiders defense has allowed 9 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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