- The 49ers are -4 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC | ESPN+ | ESPD
The New York Jets (0-0-0) visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0) on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Santa Clara, CA.
The 49ers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Jets vs. 49ers Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | +4 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +165 |
| 49ers | -4 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -200 |
Jets vs. 49ers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this game with 62.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs 49ers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread with 61.9% confidence.
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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Greg Zuerlein has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Tyler Conklin has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 41% ROI)
Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Jets
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | +350 |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | +750 |
| Deebo Samuel (SF) | +800 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | 68.5 -115 | 68.5 -115 |
| Christian Mccaffrey (SF) | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Tyler Conklin (NYJ) | 28.5 -120 | 28.5 -110 |
| George Kittle (SF) | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
| Christian Mccaffrey (SF) | 73.5 -120 | 73.5 -110 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 100% ROI)
49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jets went 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jets are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 130% ROI
- Jets are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Jets are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the 49ers went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- 49ers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 49ers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 49ers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Jets are 4-14 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — 6th-worst in NFL. The 49ers have intercepted 42 passes since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Jets were 2-8 (.200) vs top 10 defenses last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Jets were undefeated (4-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .674.
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The 49ers were winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The 49ers were winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The 49ers were 10-4 (.714) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Jets turned the ball over 31 times last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The 49ers were undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers were successful on 48.2% of plays they have run against a stacked front last season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jets allowed their opponents to be successful on 50.0% of plays with a stacked front last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The 49ers have run successful plays on just 28.6% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 40.5% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The 49ers ran successful plays on just 21.4% of rush attempts against a light front last season — worst in NFL. The Jets allowed successful plays on just 36.7% of rush attempts with a light front last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Jets have averaged just 0.23 epa per play against open coverage since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The 49ers have allowed just 0.26 epa per play with open coverage since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Jets ran successful plays on just 38.2% of pass attempts against a base front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The 49ers allowed successful plays on just 42.1% of pass attempts with a base front last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Jets have averaged just -0.18 epa per play against a base rush since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The 49ers have allowed just -0.07 epa per play with a base rush since the 2022 season — T-5th-best in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
The Jets averaged -0.25 epa per play against a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Jets had a third down conversion rate of 20% in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Jets averaged -0.20 epa per play in the 2nd half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats
The 49ers ran successful plays on 21% of rush attempts against a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The 49ers ran successful plays on 53% of rush attempts against a base front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The 49ers averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (4,571 yards/490 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.
The 49ers have averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.19.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 35% of plays with a base front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 17% of plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 26% of pass attempts from their own territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Only 9% of the plays ran against the Jets were in their own territory in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats
The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 10% of plays with a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The 49ers defense allowed successful plays on 14% of pass attempts with a light rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The 49ers defense allowed a Completion Pct of 88% (35 completions/40 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
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