Jets vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2022, 9:13 AM
  • The Packers (3-2) are -7.5 point favorites vs the Jets (3-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New York Jets (3-2) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-2) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay.

The Packers are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Jets vs. Packers Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

Bet now on Packers vs Jets & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jets vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets+7.5 -11045 -110+280
Packers -7.5 -11045 -110-350

Jets vs. Packers Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 6 game with 79.8% confidence.

Jets vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 6 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • C.J. Uzomah has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ty Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randall Cobb has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Josiah Deguara has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Marcedes Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Jets

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Aaron Jones +550
    Romeo Doubs +800
    Allen Lazard +800
    AJ Dillon +900
    Breece Hall +900

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Jets

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Aaron Jones -150
    Allen Lazard +105
    AJ Dillon +125
    Breece Hall +125
    Romeo Doubs +130

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Jets

    Player Name Over Under
    Allen Lazard 47.5 -120 47.5 -110
    Corey Davis 36.5 -120 36.5 -110
    AJ Dillon 12.5 -115 12.5 -115
    Michael Carter 10.5 -120 10.5 -110
    Tyler Conklin 20.5 -115 20.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Jets

    Player Name Over Under
    Michael Carter 29.5 -120 29.5 -110
    Aaron Rodgers 1.5 -110 1.5 -120
    Zach Wilson 9.5 -120 9.5 -110
    Aaron Jones 61.5 -115 61.5 -115
    AJ Dillon 49.5 -110 49.5 -120
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets have gone 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

    • Jets are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 62% ROI
    • Jets are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI
    • Jets are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

    Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

    • Packers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -13.2% ROI
    • Packers are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
    • Packers are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

    New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

    The Jets were winless (0-7) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

    The Jets are 3-8 (.273) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .730.

    The Jets are 1-8 (.111) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

    The Jets are winless (0-7) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.

    Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

    The Packers are 14-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Jets have turned the ball over 36 times since the 2021 season — tied for second-most in NFL.

    The Packers are undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .629.

    The Packers are 11-3 (.786) when passing for more than 250 yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .526.

    The Packers are 12-2 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Jets has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 47 s since the 2021 season — fourth-highest in NFL.

    Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Green Bay Packers

    The Packers have run successful plays on 49.9% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL. Jets have allowed successful plays on 50.1% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Packers have scored on 12.5% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — third-worst in NFL. The Jets defense has allowed scores on 17.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

    The Packers have run 51.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. Jets have allowed their opponents to run 51.8% of plays in their territory since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Jets ran 20.8% offensive plays in the red zone last week — fourth-best in NFL. Packers allowed their opponent to run 23.2% of plays in the red zone in Week 3 — worst in NFL.

    The Jets have scored on 46.2% of their drives in late and close games this season — third-best in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed scores on 41.7% of opponent drives in close and late situations this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Jets had 5 rushing touchdowns last week — most in NFL. The Packers allowed 3 rushing TDs in Week 3 — tied for second-most in NFL.

    New York Jets Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Jets have run successful plays on 20% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Jets have faced a blitz 28% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

    The Jets have run 75% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

    The Jets have not recorded a TD in 13 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

    Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Packers have been flagged 36 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

    The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 75% against the blitz this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

    The Packers ran successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    New York Jets Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

    25% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

    The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

    The Jets defense allowed 30.4 Points per Game (516/17) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23.0.

    Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    50% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

    The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    The Packers defense allowed first downs on 31% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

    The Packers defense has allowed an average time of possession of 26 min and 12 s since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 30 min 52s.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.