- The Jets are -7 point favorites vs the Patriots
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The New York Jets (2-5-0) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (1-6-0) on Oct. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough, MA.
The Jets are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Jets vs. Patriots Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | -7 -110 | 41 -110 | -350 |
| Patriots | +7 -110 | 41 -110 | +275 |
Jets vs. Patriots Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Patriots Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ja’Lynn Polk has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Demario Douglas has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.20 Units / 18% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Jets
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | +425 |
| Davante Adams (NYJ) | +600 |
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | +700 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Jets
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | -145 |
| Davante Adams (NYJ) | +110 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | 29.5 -110 | 29.5 -120 |
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | 57.5 -115 | 57.5 -115 |
| Davante Adams (NYJ) | 58.5 -110 | 58.5 -120 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | 74.5 -115 | 74.5 -115 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games at home (+2.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 2-5 (-3.6 Units / -46.15% ROI).
- Jets are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -48.12% ROI
- Jets are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- Jets are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots are 1-5 (-4.4 Units / -57.89% ROI).
- Patriots are 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -41.43% ROI
- Patriots are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Patriots are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Patriots are 1-10 (.091) at home since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Patriots are 1-10 (.091) at home since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Patriots were winless (0-6) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Patriots were winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .324.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots have averaged just -0.12 epa per play against a base front since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed just -0.09 epa per play with a base front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on just 39.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 36.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Patriots have been successful on just 37.3% of plays they have ran with motion this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 37.8% of plays against motion this season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Jets have averaged just 0.9 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 1.1 passing touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Jets have run successful plays on 51.6% of pass attempts with motion this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on 18.1% of pass attempts against motion this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Jets threw the ball 70.9% of the time last week — highest in NFL. The Patriots allowed 9.6 yards per dropback last week — 3rd-worst in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jets have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jets averaged -0.03 epa per play on first read passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Jets have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots started 24 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — most in NFL.
The Patriots started 65 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have targeted WRs 18% of the time (4 Pass Attempts/22 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.
The Patriots started 20 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 4th quarter last season — most in NFL.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts with a base front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jets defense has allowed a passer rating of just 60.8 when blitzing (117 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 89.7.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots defense allowed 6.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (5,375 yards / 850 touches) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.
The Patriots defense have allowed -0.71 epa per play on contested throws this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.11.
The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 86% of pass attempts first read passes in Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Patriots defense has allowed a passer rating of just 31.2 on contested throws (24 Pass Attempts) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 70.6.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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