- The Jets are -2 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
- Watch this game on NBC
The New York Jets (2-4-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
The Jets are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Jets vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | -2 -110 | 38 -110 | -135 |
| Steelers | +2 -110 | 38 -110 | +115 |
Jets vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Jets are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -41.53% ROI
- Jets are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
- Jets are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 4-2 (+1.7 Units / 25.19% ROI).
- Steelers are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 21.51% ROI
- Steelers are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Steelers are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Jets are winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Jets are 1-10 (.091) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .225.
The Jets were 7-10 (.412) last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.
The Steelers are 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Steelers were undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .573.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets converted first downs on just 19 of 51 plays (37%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Jets have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jets averaged -0.25 epa per play against a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Jets averaged 13.9 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Steelers were flagged 37 times on offense last season — fewest in NFL.
The Steelers scored 6 TDs from their own territory last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts against play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 51.6 in the red zone (97 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.4.
The Steelers defense has forced 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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