Jets vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 7

min read
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens (14) runs the ball in front of Seattle Seahawks safety Julian Love, back, during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Seattle. The Steelers won 30-23. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 2:33 PM
  • The Jets are -2 point favorites vs the Steelers
  • Total (Over/Under): 38 points
  • Watch this game on NBC

The New York Jets (2-4-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

The Jets are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Jets vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

Bet now on Steelers vs Jets & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jets vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets-2 -11038 -110-135
Steelers +2 -11038 -110+115

Jets vs. Steelers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jets vs Steelers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Steelers vs Jets and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jaylen Warren has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Jets are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -41.53% ROI
  • Jets are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI
  • Jets are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 4-2 (+1.7 Units / 25.19% ROI).

  • Steelers are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 21.51% ROI
  • Steelers are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Steelers are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Jets are winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Jets are 1-10 (.091) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .225.

The Jets were 7-10 (.412) last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Steelers were undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.

The Steelers are 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .568.

The Steelers were undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .573.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets converted first downs on just 19 of 51 plays (37%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Jets have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets averaged -0.25 epa per play against a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Jets averaged 13.9 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Steelers were flagged 37 times on offense last season — fewest in NFL.

The Steelers scored 6 TDs from their own territory last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts against play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 51.6 in the red zone (97 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.4.

The Steelers defense has forced 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Steelers vs Jets and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.