Patriots vs. Jets Prediction: NFL Week 8 Odds, Betting Picks

The Jets will hope to end a four-game losing streak as they travel to Foxborough for a Week 8 meeting with the Patriots. 

New York dropped to 2-5 following a blowout defeat on Sunday night in Pittsburgh. After taking a 15-6 lead, New York allowed 31 unanswered points to fall 37-15 to the Steelers. 

New England suffered a similar result in Week 7. As heavy dogs in London, the Patriots dropped a sixth straight game in a 32-16 defeat against the Jaguars. 

Bet on Patriots vs. Jets and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

NFL Week 8 Odds: Patriots vs. Jets

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction

Based on New England’s defensive struggles and a historically profitable betting angle, my Patriots vs. Jets prediction is the Jets (-1) as a teaser leg. 

This has to be the buy spot on the Jets, whose lone convincing performance came in Week 3 against the Patriots. At home, the Jets won and covered in a 24-3 victory over New England. 

It’s also a horrible scheduling spot for the Patriots, who return back from London with no bye week to reduce the travel effects. 

While it’s concerning New York has dropped four straight, I’m attributing it to the strength of opposing defenses. 

New York’s last four games have come against sides first, second, fifth and 11th in defensive EPA per play. 

Now Aaron Rodgers gets a Patriots defense that’s 28th in defensive EPA per play. Jerod Mayo’s defense has also surrendered at least 30 points in three of its last four contests. 

There isn’t much to write home about New England’s offense, either. The Patriots sit 32nd in PFF’s offensive grades and 27th in EPA per play. 

This season, New York is 2-0 SU against teams 27th or worse in both of those metrics, with both wins coming by at least a touchdown. 

History also suggests this is a good spot for the Jets. 

Road divisional favorites between -8 and -6 are 23-7-1 SU, assuming that the favorite won the previous head-to-head by 20 or more points, including 20-5 in game number four onward. 

Those teams are 27-4 against a six-point teaser in the former sample and 22-3 in the latter. 

As a result, take the Jets down through three key numbers and back them to beat the Patriots for a second straight meeting. 

For the second leg of this teaser, head to my Steelers vs. Giants prediction on MNF. 

Patriots vs. Jets: NFL Public Betting Trends