- Based on preseason odds, the Las Vegas Raiders are +300 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Since moving to Vegas in 2020, the Raiders have one postseason appearance.
- Why lack of direction at quarterback will resign Las Vegas to another missed postseason.
Based on NFL odds and Raiders playoff odds, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
Las Vegas is currently +300 to make the playoffs for an implied probability of 25%.
Comparatively, the Raiders are -375 to miss out on next year’s postseason. That price implies a probability of 78.9%.
Prediction: Will the Las Vegas Raiders Make the Playoffs?
I agree with the odds here and predict the Raiders will miss the postseason this year.
Vegas could deploy an above-average defense next year, but I don’t trust its skill players on offense.
The choice between Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell at quarterback leaves much to be desired. Save for Davante Adams, Vegas doesn’t possess many reliable skill players.
Pair that with the league’s ninth-hardest schedule, based on opponent win totals, and I expect Vegas to miss the playoffs.
Las Vegas Raiders Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +300 | 25% |
| Week 2 | +400 | 20% |
| Week 3 | +270 | 27% |
| Week 4 | +375 | 21.1% |
| Week 5 | +300 | 25% |
| Week 6 | +600 | 14.3% |
| Week 7 | +1100 | 8.3% |
| Week 8 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 9 | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Week 10 | +5000 | 1.96% |
AFC West Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -650 | 86.7% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -110 | 52.4% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +300 | 25% |
| Denver Broncos | +500 | 16.7% |
When Was the Last Time the Las Vegas Raiders Won the Super Bowl?
The Raiders have three Super Bowl wins in franchise history with the last championship coming in 1984.
The most recent Super Bowl appearance for the Raiders came in 2003 as the Oakland Raiders, a 48-21 loss to the Buccaneers.
Las Vegas Raiders Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 2 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 3 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 4 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 5 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 6 | +25000 | 0.40% |
| Week 7 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 8 | +50000 | 0.20% |
| Week 9 | +75000 | 0.13% |
| Week 10 | +100000 | 0.01% |
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