- The Lions are -6.5 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 48 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Detroit Lions (12-2-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (4-10-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Lions vs. Bears Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.
Bet now on Bears vs Lions & all NFL games with BetMGM
Lions vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | -6.5 -110 | 48 -110 | -300 |
| Bears | +6.5 -110 | 48 -110 | +240 |
Lions vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Lions vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Bears vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
- David Montgomery has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- David Montgomery has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 80% ROI)
- Tim Patrick has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 78% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- D.J. Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 20% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Lions
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | +280 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det) | +700 |
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | +825 |
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.59 Units / 23% ROI)
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions art 9-4 (+4.6 Units / 29.87% ROI).
- Lions are 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 16.06% ROI
- Lions are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 2.27% ROI
- Lions are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 6-6 (-0.7 Units / -4.5% ROI).
- Bears are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -41.98% ROI
- Bears are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Bears are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Lions are 3-1 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .248.
The Lions were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Lions are 4-3 (.571) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .274.
The Lions are 18-3 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Bears are winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
The Bears are winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .397.
The Bears are winless (0-9) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .248.
The Bears are winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .329.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears have a third down conversion rate of just 32.3% this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.5% this season — best in NFL.
Bears WRs have averaged 22.4 targets per game this season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 29.6% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Lions have pressured opposing QBs on 29.0% of passing plays since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on just 45.7% of rush attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on just 44.8% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Lions have run 19.0% offensive plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL. The Bears have allowed their opponent to run 17.8% of plays in the red zone this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Lions RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.9% of 389 carries this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 10+ yards on 12.6% of carries to RBs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 44% against tight coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Lions have scored 6 TDs from their own territory this season — most in NFL.
The Lions averaged 0.43 epa per play on first read passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Lions threw for 5 TDs in Week 15 — T-most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.47 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears have run 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Bears have averaged -0.29 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
Offenses facing the Lions targeted WRs 68% of the time (333 Pass Attempts/489 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Lions defense has allowed successful plays on 68% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Lions defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (25 completions/64 attempts) in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Lions defense has allowed 15.1 yards per completion (996 yards/66 completions) since Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed 58.8 receiving yards per game (1,000/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32.4.
The Bears defense averaged a sack every 21.6 pass attempts (647 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 76% on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Bears defense allowed -0.17 epa per play with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Bears vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
