Lions vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:49 AM
  • The Cowboys (4-2) are -7 point favorites vs the Lions (1-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Detroit Lions (1-4) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (4-2) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Arlington.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Lions vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Lions +7 -110 49 -110 +240
Cowboys -7 -110 49 -110 -300

Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 7 game with 72.8% confidence.

Lions vs Cowboys Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 7 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)

 

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Lions

Player Name Over Under
Dalton Schultz 29.5 -115 29.5 -120
CeeDee Lamb 71.5 -115 71.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Lions

Player Name Over Under
Ezekiel Elliott 64.5 -115 64.5 -115
Dak Prescott 8.5 -120 8.5 -110

 

  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 34% ROI)

 

 

  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 69% ROI)

 

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 3-2 (+0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI).

  • Lions are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -63.79% ROI
  • Lions are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Lions are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 4-2 (+1.85 Units / 28.46% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 70.45% ROI
  • Cowboys are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Cowboys are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Lions are 1-2-1 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .756.

The Lions are winless (0-5-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Lions are 1-13 (.071) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have intercepted 31 passes since the 2021 season — tied for most in NFL.

The Lions are winless (0-6-1) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Cowboys are 12-1 (.923) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 144.1 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys are 10-2 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Lions have intercepted 13 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys are 10-5 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Lions have averaged just 1.7 sacks per game over that time span — second-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys are winless (0-1) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .449.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 47.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. Lions have allowed successful plays on 55.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have just 20.7 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Lions have averaged just 24.0 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 133.8 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 169.4 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Lions have run just 12.1% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL. Cowboys has allowed their opponent to run just 10.6% of plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — best in NFL.

The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 35.4% since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.0% since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL.

The Lions have a third down conversion rate of just 31.9% in the first half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 37.3% in the first half since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have converted first downs on 13 of 15 plays (87%) on second and 1-3 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Lions have run successful plays on 65% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have run successful plays on 38% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Cowboys have run 8% of their plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cowboys have a third down conversion rate of 13% in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 57% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Lions defense have forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Lions defense has sacked opposing QBs just once on 93 pass attempts since Week 3 — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.8.

The Lions defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of just 77.4 (848 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.3.

The Cowboys defense averaged 1.5 interceptions per game (26/17) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.