- The Minnesota Vikings are +120 to make the postseason in 2025-26.
- Minnesota earned 13 or more wins in two of the previous three seasons.
- I predict the best approach for the Vikings is weighing a live bet after Week 6.
Based on NFL odds and Vikings playoff odds, the Minnesota Vikings are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
After defying expectations in 2024 with 14 wins, Kevin O’Connell’s team is +120 to repeat its postseason success.
Comparatively, the team that won 13 games in 2022 and won the NFC North is -145 to miss the postseason.
Prediction: Will the Minnesota Vikings Make the Playoffs?
Based on Minnesota’s distribution of games against strong offenses, I predict it’s best to wait for Week 6 before considering a bet in this market.
The Vikings rate out a fade candidate in 2025 based on its success in close games last season. Despite winning 14 games, Minnesota finished 5-1 in field-goal games and 8-1 in touchdown games.
Minnesota’s defense drove much of its success in 2024, finishing second in defensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com.
On paper, regression from that unit is likely this season. Last season, Minnesota faced the 13th-hardest set of offenses. This season, they’re projected to face the third-hardest set.
A disproportionate number of those difficult games come after a Week 6 bye.
Based on 2024 offensive DVOA ratings, Minnesota’s first five opponents averaged a -6.3% rating. Only one of those five finished 10th or better in offensive DVOA.
From Week 7 onward, Minnesota plays 11 games against opponents that averaged an offensive DVOA rating of 7.68% with six of 11 coming against top-10 offenses.
Another reason I like considering a live bet on Minnesota: its Week 3 game vs Cincinnati comes at home.
This season, most of Minnesota’s difficult games come in Minneapolis. As a result, that Week 3 contest could provide a potential barometer for whether the defense holds up.
Of those seven games against top-10 offenses last season, five come at home. Of 10 games against teams 14th or better last season, seven are at U.S. Bank Stadium.
That could help explain why support has come in for the Vikings to make the playoffs. After opening at -160 to miss the playoffs, Minnesota now sits at -145.
Pair that with the uncertainty around J.J. McCarthy and I’d like a sample of the Vikings before making a wager in this market.
Minnesota Vikings Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +120 | 45.5% |
When Was the Last Time the Minnesota Vikings Won the Super Bowl?
The Vikings have never won the Super Bowl in franchise history.
However, they enjoyed a successful spell of big game appearances during the 1970’s, losing four Super Bowls in 1970, 1974, 1975 and 1977.
Minnesota Vikings Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +3500 | 2.78% |
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