NFC East Predictions 2024: Division Winner

In what’s widely considered a two-horse race for the division title, bettors have plus money options with both the Cowboys and Eagles. 

Dallas claimed their second NFC East title in the last three years thanks to Philadelphia faltering down the stretch. After starting 10-1, Philly closed the regular season 1-5. 

How does this division shake out in 2024? Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for the NFC East division winner and my best bet. 

NFL Odds – NFC East Division Winner

• Dallas Cowboys: +125
• Philadelphia Eagles: +125
• New York Giants: +900
• Washington Commanders: +900

NFL Picks & Predictions – NFC East Division Winner

Philadelphia Eagles to Win the NFC East (+125)

The big worry here is that the Eagles proved remarkably good in close games last season. 

Of the Eagles’ 11 wins last season, only three came by nine or more points. Additionally, the Eagles finished 7-3 in games decided by seven points or fewer. 

That said, the Eagles made some headlines in free agency while executing some sneaky moves. 

The big news is that Saquon Barkley comes in at running back. 

Behind an outstanding Eagles offensive line – first in pass blocking, third in run blocking – he adds a second layer to an Eagles offense that ranked 10th in DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Additionally, Philadelphia brought back safety Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to play safety next to Reed Blankenship. 

When Gardner played on the Eagles in 2022 with Marcus Epps, James Bradberry and Darius Slay, they ranked first in pass defense DVOA. 

Last season, they were 29th in the same metric. However, the Eagles lost the second-most games to injury amongst all NFL secondaries. 

They also get an easier schedule than the Cowboys. Last year, the teams played opposite schedules – Philadelphia first place, Dallas second place. 

Accordingly, the Eagles played an extra game against teams that reached the 2024 postseason. 

Dallas notched only three wins last season against teams that reached the postseason. This year, they play nine games against teams with win totals of eight or higher. 

The Eagles play the same amount in terms of the win total, but a majority of those games come at home. 

Add in the notable losses for Dallas in free agency – Tony Pollard and Tyron Smith are the big losses – and I’ll take the Eagles to win the NFC East this season.