- Why I’m supporting the Pittsburgh Steelers as home underdogs.
- The case for the Raiders as home underdogs on Monday Night Football.
- Can the Cardinals keep it close at home against the Bengals?
Amongst the countless Week 5 NFL odds markets at the BetMGM Sportsbook, one option for bettors is a teaser.
Largely popular amongst recreational bettors, a teaser allows bettors to move multiple lines in their favor with varying payouts depending on the total legs.
NFL Betting Predictions: Best Week 5 Teaser Legs
Allow me to present my five best NFL Week 5 teaser legs in order of confidence.
Best NFL Week 5 Teaser Leg No. 1: Pittsburgh Steelers +10.5
I outlined the Steelers +4.5 as one of my favorite early Week 5 bets. As a result, it shouldn’t come as a huge surprise I’m a fan of their teaser potential.
For his career, Tomlin is 64-18 (78%) as a six-point tease when he’s listed as an underdog.
As a home underdog, Tomlin is 22-2 (92%) as a six-point teaser leg.
Although I don’t trust the Steelers’ offense, their defense should allow them to stay within 10 points.
Best NFL Week 5 Teaser Leg No. 2: Arizona Cardinals +9
The line has quickly moved down on Arizona – I bet them Sunday night at +5, and it’s down to +3.
If you missed the former number, the Cardinals still offer decent value as a teaser leg. Prior to their Week 4 loss against the 49ers, Arizona played three one-score games.
On the flip side, the Bengals have experienced difficulty blowing teams out. Their lone win came by three points at home, and they only earned one road double-digit win last season.
Take the Cardinals up through the key numbers of six and seven to counteract the early line move.
Best NFL Week 5 Teaser Leg No. 3: Tennessee Titans +7.5
I won’t blame anyone who takes the Titans as road underdogs this week, but a teaser feels like a safer leg.
Similar to Tomlin, Titans head coach Mike Vrabel is historically outstanding as an underdog. For his career, he’s 26-16-1 ATS in that spot and similarly excels as a teaser.
Over those 43 games, Vrabel is 30-13 (70%) as a six-point teaser, including 6-4 as a six-point tease when he’s a divisional underdog.
Add in the Titans won both head-to-head meetings against the Colts last season, and I’ll be surprised if they lose by eight or more points.
Best NFL Week 5 Teaser Leg No. 4: New Orleans Saints +7.5
Both the Saints and Patriots looked horrible in Week 4, but this game should play much closer.
Each team relies on strong defensive play to earn positive results – the Patriots and Saints rank eighth and ninth, respectively, in defensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com.
That tells me this game will prove to be a low-scoring one, which aids the underdog.
For his career, Saints quarterback Derek Carr is much better as a dog than a favorite. Including his Week 4 performance, the Fresno State product is 18.7% better ATS as a dog (54.7% vs. 36%).
As a six-point teaser, Carr is 66% for his career when he’s an underdog.
Best NFL Week 5 Teaser Leg No. 5: Las Vegas Raiders +8
It’s hard to trust the Raiders quarterback situation, but I like one matchup element against the Packers.
Historically, Green Bay is disastrous against the run. Last season, the Packers finished 31st in rush defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com.
Through the first four weeks, little has changed for the Packers.
Entering their Monday Night Football matchup with Las Vegas, Green Bay ranks 25th in rush defense DVOA.
If the Raiders can rely on Josh Jacobs, that should burn clock and help them stay within striking distance. Back them so long as they’re available at +7.5 or better as a six-point teaser.
What’s a Teaser Bet & How Do They Work?
In a teaser bet, bettors select two or more markets in which they’d like to adjust the line. The most common adjustment is six points, though BetMGM allows players to move lines by any amount between six and 14 points.
However, bettors pay a premium to move the line through key numbers. In the NFL, these numbers are three, six, seven, 10, 14 and 17.
In a two-team, six-point teaser, bettors have to lay -130. In a three-team, six-point teaser, the price rises to +160.
Bettors can include as many legs as they want. But remember, all legs have to cash for the whole bet to win, making teasers with more teams inherently riskier.
With teasers, bettors should remember two things.
First, always tease through the key numbers. Second, never tease through zero.
My other recommendation is to focus on home teams. Some handicappers will utilize road teams in a teaser, but I’ve found visitors experience more volatile results.
Bettors should learn the BetMGM house rules associated with teasers pushing. If a leg pushes in a teaser with three or more legs, the leg is removed, and the odds are recalculated.
In a two-team teaser, if one leg pushes, the entire bet pushes and bettors are refunded their stake.
NFL Same Game Parlays
Parlays are a great way to take your NFL betting to the next level. And at the online sportsbook, you can build parlays with a single game.
Same Game Parlays allow bettors to add multiple bets within the same game to increase the excitement and potential payout. You can also combine Same Game Game Parlays with Same Game Parlay Plus (SGP+).
Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome bonus — to start betting. And don’t forget to check updated sportsbook bonuses and promos each day of the year.