- The Eagles are -4.5 point favorites vs the Packers
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX | FOXD
The Green Bay Packers visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Jan. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this NFC Wild Card matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Packers vs. Eagles Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | +4.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +185 |
| Eagles | -4.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -225 |
Packers vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Emanuel Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.18 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.49 Units / 27% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 8-8 (-0.85 Units / -4.58% ROI).
- Packers are 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 4.67% ROI
- Packers are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI
- Packers are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 11-6 (+4.45 Units / 23.67% ROI).
- Eagles are 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 20.94% ROI
- Eagles are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
- Eagles are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Packers are 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .284.
The Packers were 5-8 (.385) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Packers are 6-3 (.667) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .606.
The Packers are 3-2 (.600) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Eagles are 13-2 (.867) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles are 18-4 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 137.6 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles are 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Giants have intercepted 5 passes this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have run successful plays on 58.2% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on 50.4% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles ran 65.5% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Giants allowed their opponents to run64.4% of plays in their territory last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged 0.18 epa per play against a light front since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 0.06 epa per play with a light front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have been successful on 49.3% of plays they have run against a light front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed their opponents to be successful on 44.4% of plays with a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have scored on 45% of their drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed scores on 43.2% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on 53.4% of pass attempts against a light front this season — best in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on 47.9% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have averaged 8.4 yards per play against a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.4.
The Packers did not target running backs on 0 pass attempts in Week 17 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Packers scored on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles have rushed for 20+ yards 25 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged 13.8 yards per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.8.
The Eagles have thrown the ball 39% of the time (407 Pass Attempts/1,046 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 23 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in Week 17. — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 35.2 on 3rd and long (71 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 82.6.
The Packers defense have allowed -0.64 epa per play when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.29.
The Packers defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 535 attempts (0%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Eagles defense have allowed -0.11 epa per play with a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Eagles defense forced 4 turnovers in Week 17 — most in NFL.
The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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