Packers vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFC Wild Card Playoffs

Eagles player number 1 running with NFL ball game in hand.
(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)
  • The Eagles are -4.5 point favorites vs the Packers
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX | FOXD

The Green Bay Packers () visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles () on Jan. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Packers vs. Eagles Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers+4.5 -11045.5 -110+185
Eagles -4.5 -11045.5 -110-225

Packers vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Emanuel Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Luke Musgrave has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Josh Jacobs (GB) +550
Saquon Barkley (PHI) +400
Jalen Hurts (Phi) +600
A.J. Brown (Phi) +800

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Josh Jacobs (GB) 17.5 -150 17.5 +110
Romeo Doubs (GB) 46.5 -110 46.5 -120
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 10.5 -120 10.5 -110
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 35.5 -110 35.5 -120
Jayden Reed (GB) 42.5 -120 42.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Josh Jacobs (GB) 70.5 -115 70.5 -115
Jordan Love (GB) 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 37.5 -110 37.5 -120
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 99.5 -120 99.5 -115
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.98 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.27 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 8-8 (-0.85 Units / -4.58% ROI).

  • Packers are 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 4.67% ROI
  • Packers are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • Packers are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 11-6 (+4.45 Units / 23.67% ROI).

  • Eagles are 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 20.94% ROI
  • Eagles are 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
  • Eagles are 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Packers are undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

The Packers are 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .292.

The Packers were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Packers were 6-2 (.750) when passing for more than 250 yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .249.

The Eagles are 16-4 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .572.

The Eagles are 19-3 (.864) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

The Eagles are 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have run successful plays on 50.7% of pass attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed successful plays on 46.6% of pass attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 19.1% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers defense has allowed scores on 15.4% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — best in NFL.

The Eagles ran successful plays on just 16.7% of rush attempts last week — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on just 34.6% of rush attempts last week — 5th-best in NFL.

The Packers ran successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed successful plays on just 22.2% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — best in NFL.

The Packers have run successful plays on just 43.0% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on just 41.2% of pass attempts with a base front this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Packers have averaged 0.22 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 0.17 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Packers ran successful plays on 61% of plays against a heavy rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Packers ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers have run 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have averaged 13.8 yards per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have started 27 drives inside opposing territory this season — most in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 40.6 on 3rd and long (78 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 51% of pass attempts with a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Packers defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 1st quarter in Week 18 — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Packers defense have allowed just 4.4 yards per play with a heavy rush this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 6.6.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense has allowed 296.3 yards from scrimmage per game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 353.3.

The Eagles defense have allowed just 5.7 yards per play with a base rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.7.

The Eagles defense have allowed 0.02 epa per play first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.21.

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BetMGM Betting

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.