Packers vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Pick: Week 4

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Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love warms up before an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 27, 2024, 1:48 PM
  • The Packers are 2.5-point favorites against the Vikings.
  • Green Bay captured a 33-10 win over the Vikings in the last head-to-head meeting.
  • I predict the Packers cover the spread and end Minnesotaโ€™s winning streak.

Itโ€™s an NFC North matchup between two teams riding a multi-game winning streak: Packers vs. Vikings in Week 4.

Minnesota blew out Houston 34-7 in Week 3 to move to 3-0 on the season. Meanwhile, the Packers beat the Titans 30-14 behind Malik Willis to move to 2-1 through three games.ย 

Last season, these teams split the head-to-head series. Minnesota won 24-10 in Green Bay with the Packers obliterating the Vikings 33-10 in Week 17.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the NFL betting lines and my Packers vs. Vikings prediction.ย 

Packers vs. Vikings Odds

  • Green Bay Packers Moneyline: -135
  • Minnesota Vikings Moneyline: +115
  • Game Spread: Green Bay Packers -2.5 (-115)
  • Game Over/Under: 43.5 Points

Packers vs. Vikings Prediction

My Packers vs. Vikings prediction for Week 4 is the Packers Spread (-2.5, -115).ย 

This is the game that tells bettors whether this Vikings team is legitimate. Up until this point, theyโ€™ve faced their hardest games at home with a road game against a bad Giants defense.ย 

Now, they head on the road to face a Packers team that could get Jordan Love back on Sunday. Additionally, thereโ€™s a clear advantage for Green Bay in Week 4.ย 

Unsurprisingly, Minnesota excels in a ton of underlying statistical categories. But theyโ€™re exploitable via the ground.ย 

After posting a 84.5 rush defense grade against the Giants, Minnesota posted grades of 70.1 and 69.2 against San Francisco and Houston.ย 

Now they play a Packers team thatโ€™s sixth in PFFโ€™s rushing grades. The last time Minnesota faced Green Bay, they allowed 177 yards on the ground.ย 

Plus, history says this is a wise spot to fade the Vikings.ย 

Since 2017, conference underdogs between +1 and +3 that are 100% both SU and ATS with an average margin of victory higher than 10 points per game are 2-8 ATS.ย 

Take the Packers to win and cover to hand Minnesota their first loss of the season.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.