Passing Touchdowns Props Today: Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) throws a pass during an NFL Football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday, Jan. 14, 2024.
(AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
  • Get passing touchdowns prop predictions based on current trends for top NFL quarterbacks
  • Plus passing touchdowns betting odds for Week 16
  • Passing TD prop bets let you wager on whether or not a QB will go over or under their total for passing touchdowns.

Looking for passing touchdowns prop bets for Week 16‘s NFL slate of games?

We’ve got you covered below, with predictions for every top quarterback plus their current over/under betting odds.

Bookmark this page, as itโ€™s updated throughout the week with live odds for passing touchdowns betting markets.


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How many total passing touchdowns will top quarterbacks record this week?

Passing Touchdowns Predictions

  • Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Brock Purdy has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 47% ROI)

Below are the top passing touchdowns prop bets today for all NFL quarterbacks with current betting odds.

Passing Touchdowns Prop Odds Today

Player Over Under
Drake Maye (NE) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Anthony Richardson (IND) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Dorian Thompson-Robinson (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Drew Lock (NYG) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Josh Allen (BUF) 1.5 -160 1.5 +120
Jordan Love (GB) 1.5 -160 1.5 +120
Jared Goff (DET) 1.5 -150 1.5 +115
Baker Mayfield (TB) 1.5 -145 1.5 +110
Matthew Stafford (LAR) 1.5 -130 1.5 -105
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) 1.5 -120 1.5 -110
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 1.5 -110 1.5 -120
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) 1.5 -110 1.5 -120
Sam Darnold (MIN) 1.5 -105 1.5 -120
Kyler Murray (ARI) 1.5 +100 1.5 -135
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 1.5 +100 1.5 -130
Aaron Rodgers (NYJ) 1.5 +105 1.5 -145
Brock Purdy (SF) 1.5 +110 1.5 -150
Aidan O’Connell (LV) 1.5 +120 1.5 -155
Cooper Rush (DAL) 1.5 +135 1.5 -185
Geno Smith (SEA) 1.5 +145 1.5 -190
Caleb Williams (CHI) 1.5 +150 1.5 -210
CJ Stroud (HOU) 1.5 +150 1.5 -200
Jayden Daniels (WAS) 1.5 +155 1.5 -210
Russell Wilson (PIT) 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Bryce Young (CAR) 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Mason Rudolph (TEN) 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Mac Jones (JAC) 1.5 +165 1.5 -225
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Joe Burrow (CIN) 2.5 +145 2.5 -200


Continue reading:


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What is a Passing Touchdownss prop bet?

This NFL player prop bet is based on correctly picking a whether or not a quarterback will record more or less (over or under) passing touchdowns in a game, than the line set by a sportsbook.

How to bet on passing touchdowns prop bets

It’s important to look at key statistics when betting on whether or not a player will record enough total passing touchdowns, including player performance this season, opposing defensive matchups and weather reports for the game.

When do passing touchdowns prop bets come out?

Most player prop bets like “total passing touchdowns” are live on Tuesday for Thursday night football and by Wednesday for Sunday games. Go-live timing for player prop markets and odds vary by sportsbook based on a multitude of factors including lineup uncertainty and weather concerns.

More NFL Betting at BetMGM

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.