Raiders vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:29 AM

The Ravens are -9.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Las Vegas Raiders (0-1-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (0-1-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Ravens Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Raiders	+9.5 -110	41.5 -110	+350
Ravens	-9.5 -110	41.5 -110	-450

Raiders vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)

Gardner Minshew has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.00 Units / 28% ROI)

Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.40 Units / 87% ROI)

Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)

Alexander Mattison has hit the Carries Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 66% ROI)

Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)

Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)

Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)

Justice Hill has hit the Longest Rush Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)

Raiders Best Bets:

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)

The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 22% ROI)

The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)

The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)

The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)

The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Raiders went 0-1 (-1.2 Units / -100% ROI).

Raiders are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
Raiders are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Raiders are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Ravens went 0-1 (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).

Ravens are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
Ravens are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Ravens are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .221.

The Raiders were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Raiders are winless (0-6) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

The Ravens were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Ravens were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 offenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .359.

The Ravens were 11-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 16 s last season — 5th-highest in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens ran successful plays on 61.9% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Raiders pressured opposing QBs on 3% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL.

The Ravens have been successful on 45.6% of plays they have run since the 2022 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.1% of plays since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on 46.7% of rush attempts with motion since the 2022 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed successful plays on 45.9% of rush attempts against motion since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Raiders threw for 20+ yards on 35 of 557 attempts last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best in NFL.

The Raiders rushed the ball on just 43.6% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone last season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — fewest in NFL.

The Raiders have rushed the ball on just 42.3% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2022 season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2022 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders averaged -0.20 epa per play in the 2nd half last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

The Raiders averaged -0.75 epa per play against tight coverage last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Raiders ran 2% of their plays in the red zone in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have targeted TEs 32% of the time (328 Pass Attempts/1,022 plays) since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens averaged 0.81 epa per play on contested throws in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.09.

The Ravens threw the ball 24% of the time (14 Pass Attempts/58 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Ravens had 21 rushes of 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 47% of pass attempts on 3rd down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Raiders defense allowed 5.9 yards after the catch (1,153 RAC / 197 receptions) to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Raiders defense has allowed 9 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2022 season — T-most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of just 43.1 with a heavy rush (47 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 96.7.

The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

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