- The Raiders are -1 point favorites vs the Saints
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Las Vegas Raiders (3-12-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (5-10-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Raiders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Raiders vs. Saints Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | -1 -110 | 37.5 -110 | -120 |
| Saints | +1 -110 | 37.5 -110 | +100 |
Raiders vs. Saints Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Raiders vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Michael Mayer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Derek Carr has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Blake Grupe has hit the Field Goals Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.98 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 6-8 (-2.95 Units / -17.66% ROI).
- Raiders are 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -45.1% ROI
- Raiders are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
- Raiders are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -23.78% ROI).
- Saints are 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -28.61% ROI
- Saints are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
- Saints are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Raiders are winless (0-8) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Raiders are 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .665.
The Raiders are 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Saints are winless (0-7) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
The Saints are winless (0-16) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.
The Saints are 1-10 (.091) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.
The Saints were 4-8 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints ran successful plays on just 34.6% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 4th-worst in NFL. The Raiders allowed successful plays on just 26.7% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — best in NFL.
The Saints ran just 0.0% offensive plays in the red zone last week — worst in NFL. The Raiders allowed their opponent to run just 4.9% of plays in the red zone last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Saints scored on 0% of their drives last week — worst in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 16.7% of opponent drives last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have 15 touchdown passes this season — 2nd-fewest in NFL. The Saints have allowed 15 passing TDs this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Raiders have an average drive start position from the 26.6 yard line this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed an average drive start position from the 25.0 yard line this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Raiders WRs have 7 receiving touchdowns this season — T-fewest in NFL. The Saints have allowed 15 receiving touchdowns this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have run successful plays on 16% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Raiders are averaging 14.8 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Raiders averaged -0.75 epa per play against tight coverage last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints have averaged 0.21 epa per play on contested throws since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.10.
The Saints did not score on any drive in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Saints averaged 0.26 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
The Saints have run successful plays on 39% of pass attempts against a base front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has allowed 5 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled this season — T-most in NFL.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 46.4 on contested throws (127 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 67.6.
The Raiders defense allowed successful plays on 24% of plays with a base rush in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Raiders defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 58 of 388 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) this season. — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 32.0 on contested throws (58 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 71.8.
The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 39.9 on contested throws (151 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 67.6.
The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of just 80.7 with a base rush (903 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.4.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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