- The Rams are a 1-point home favorite against the Dolphins.
- The Dolphins have lost eight straight road games vs. opponents on a winning streak.
- My Rams vs. Dolphins prediction centers around the Dolphins passing attack.
Week 10’s Monday Night Football matchup pits the Los Angeles Rams against the Miami Dolphins.
The Rams escaped from Seattle with an overtime win in Week 9. That gave Sean McVay’s side a second consecutive win to move back to .500.
Miami fell late in Buffalo on a Tyler Bass 61-yard field goal. It’s the third straight loss for Miami, which owns only one win since Week 2.
Bet on Rams vs. Dolphins and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 10 Odds: Rams vs. Dolphins
Nov 11 - 8 pm ESTDolphins at Rams
Rams vs. Dolphins Prediction, MNF
Based on Tua Tagovailoa’s strong passing metrics and the Rams’ weak pass defense, my Rams vs. Dolphins prediction is Tyreek Hill Over 5.5 Receptions (-115).
Since returning from injury, Tagovailoa has recorded outstanding passing metrics.
Sample all 27 quarterbacks with at least 50 passing attempts since Week 8, and bettors will find the Dolphins signal caller ranks third in EPA + completion percentage over expected.
Only Sam Darnold owns a higher completion percentage than Tagovailoa over that span with the Alabama product sitting third in EPA per play and success rate.
On Monday, he faces a bad Rams pass defense.
Los Angeles ranks 26th in pass defense DVOA and 22nd in dropback success rate.
That leads me to Hill, who has cleared this number only three times this season. But in three full games with Tagovailoa, he’s notched four, six and seven receptions.
Against Arizona, a side one spot ahead of Los Angeles in pass DVOA, Hill reeled in six catches for 72 yards.
The Rams are also the second-easiest opponent for the Dolphins passing game since Week 1 against the Jaguars.
In that contest, Hill caught seven balls for 130 yards on 12 targets.
As a result, this rates out a great buy-low spot on Hill with a fully healthy quarterback.
Rams vs. Dolphins: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Friday for Rams vs. Dolphins public betting data and insights.
