- The Ravens are -1 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Baltimore Ravens (0-2-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (1-1-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Ravens vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -1 -105 | 48.5 -110 | -115 |
| Cowboys | +1 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -105 |
Ravens vs. Cowboys Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 51.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Cowboys Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers (BAL) | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -120 |
| Brandin Cooks (DAL) | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -120 |
| Mark Andrews (BAL) | 38.5 -115 | 38.5 -115 |
| Isaiah Likely (BAL) | 31.5 -120 | 31.5 -110 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 81.5 -115 | 81.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 66.5 -115 | 66.5 -115 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -120 |
| Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | 30.5 -115 | 30.5 -115 |
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 0-2 (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ravens are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -100% ROI
- Ravens are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ravens are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -45.33% ROI
- Cowboys are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Cowboys are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Ravens were undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys are 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Cowboys are 11-1 (.917) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .498.
The Cowboys are winless (0-4) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 53.8% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on 53.3% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on just 35.9% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on just 32.4% of rush attempts with a base front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Cowboys have been successful on 55.6% of plays they have ran against a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed their opponents to be successful on 52.9% of plays with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 48.1% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on 45.7% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 61.9% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on 63.2% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 0.19 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 0.22 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have targeted TEs 32% of the time (337 Pass Attempts/1,056 plays) since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Ravens have run the ball on 81% of plays (103 carries/127 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Ravens had 21 rushes of 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 18% of the time (23 Pass Attempts/127 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys converted first downs on 25 of 60 plays (42%) when their QB was scrambling last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 44% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Cowboys scored on 48% of their drives in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Cowboys have converted first downs on 26 of 62 plays (42%) when their QB has scrambled since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
The Ravens defense have allowed -0.16 epa per play in the 1st half since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Ravens defense have allowed -0.11 epa per play in the 1st half since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense have allowed -0.24 epa per play with a light front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
The Cowboys defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys defense has allowed just 4.3 yards per dropback (640 yards/149 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Cowboys defense allowed 6 TDs in Week 2 — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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