- The Steelers are -3 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (2-3-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Paradise, NV.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Steelers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | -3 -115 | 36.5 -110 | -175 |
| Raiders | +3 -105 | 36.5 -110 | +145 |
Steelers vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 67.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Steelers vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Raiders vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens (PIT) | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+4.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers art 3-2 (+0.7 Units / 12.39% ROI).
- Steelers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 12.59% ROI
- Steelers are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Steelers are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 2-3 (-1.45 Units / -25.44% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 6.15% ROI
- Raiders are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Raiders are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Steelers are 9-3 (.750) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Raiders has allowed an average time of possession of 30 min and 57 s since the 2023 season — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.
The Steelers were 8-2 (.800) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Steelers are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders were winless (0-8) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Raiders were 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Raiders were 5-2 (.714) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 27.4% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 37.4% of rush attempts this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have averaged just -0.12 epa per play against a base front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just -0.09 epa per play with a base front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have scored on 29.5% of their drives this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 29.4% of opponent drives this season — 4th-best in NFL.
Steelers RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2.0 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Steelers have rushed the ball on 51.6% of plays from scrimmage this season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 5.3 yards per carry this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Steelers have gone three and out on 26.7% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have forced three and outs on 31.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers were flagged 37 times on offense last season — fewest in NFL.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts against a base front last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 19% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have averaged -1.25 epa per play against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 23% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 18% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 49.9 in the red zone (92 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.4.
The Steelers defense have allowed 0.76 epa per play open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.
The Steelers defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has missed 57 tackles this season — most in NFL.
The Raiders defense have allowed 29 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.
The Raiders defense tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 25 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in Week 5. — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 9.8 on contested throws (14 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 71.9.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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