- The Colts are -3.5 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Tennessee Titans (3-11-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (6-8-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.
The Colts are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Titans vs. Colts Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | +3.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +155 |
| Colts | -3.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -190 |
Titans vs. Colts Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Colts will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyjae Spears has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Josh Whyle has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adonai Mitchell has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Anthony Richardson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans art 2-12 (-11.15 Units / -73.11% ROI).
- Titans are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -43.43% ROI
- Titans are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 16.23% ROI
- Titans are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts are 8-6 (+1.4 Units / 9.18% ROI).
- Colts are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -8.06% ROI
- Colts are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI
- Colts are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .256.
The Titans are 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .473.
The Titans are winless (0-9) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Colts were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Colts were 5-3 (.625) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Colts were 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Colts were 7-2 (.778) when not losing a fumble last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .578.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have run successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts with motion this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 36.7% of rush attempts against motion this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 32.2% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 36.0% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 28.1% of rush attempts against a stacked front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on just 21.1% of rush attempts with a stacked front this season — best in NFL.
The Titans ran successful plays on 65.5% of pass attempts against a base front last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Colts pressured opposing QBs on 7.7% of pass attempts with a base front last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Titans ran successful plays on 64.3% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Colts pressured opposing QBs on 3.4% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — worst in NFL.
Titans WRs have averaged just 3.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL. The Colts have allowed just 3.8 yards after catch per reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have run 36% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Titans ran 33% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Titans have run 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts turned the ball over on downs 6 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Colts have averaged -1.30 epa per play against a light front since Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Colts have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts on play action passes since Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Colts have thrown 58% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 70%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense has allowed 6.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (4,346 yards / 665 touches) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of rush attempts with a stacked front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Titans defense allowed scores on 43% of opponent drives last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Titans defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (15 completions/54 attempts) when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of plays on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 73% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense has forced 6 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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