- The Lions are -11.5 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Tennessee Titans (1-5-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (5-1-0) on Oct. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Titans vs. Lions Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | +11.5 -110 | 45 -110 | +475 |
| Lions | -11.5 -110 | 45 -110 | -650 |
Titans vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 72.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Joshua Kelley has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Will Levis has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Titans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery (Det) | +500 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | +550 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det) | +550 |
| Sam LaPorta (Det) | +750 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Titans
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery (Det) | -120 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | -120 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det) | -110 |
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | +115 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Titans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 73.5 -110 | 73.5 -120 |
| Sam LaPorta (DET) | 34.5 -120 | 34.5 -110 |
| Calvin Ridley (TEN) | 43.5 -120 | 43.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Titans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery (DET) | 55.5 -120 | 55.5 -110 |
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans art 1-5 (-4.5 Units / -69.23% ROI).
- Titans are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -66.19% ROI
- Titans are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
- Titans are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 5-1 (+3.9 Units / 60% ROI).
- Lions are 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 11.46% ROI
- Lions are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI
- Lions are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.58% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Titans are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Titans are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Titans are 1-10 (.091) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Titans are 1-5 (.167) this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Lions are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Lions are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Lions are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Lions are undefeated (6-0) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .479.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have averaged 0.09 epa per play against a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed 0.05 epa per play with a base rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 51.5% of pass attempts against a base front since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on 49.7% of pass attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 50.6% of pass attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed successful plays on 48.3% of pass attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 31.1% this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 31.2% this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Titans have been successful on just 38.0% of plays they have ran on play action passes this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 35.7% of plays on play action passes this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 32.9% since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.7% since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have run 33% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Titans have scored on 9% of their drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Titans have averaged -0.39 epa per play against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Titans have run 1,345 plays since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions went for it on fourth down 35% of the time last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Lions had a third down conversion rate of 44% against tight coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Lions have faced a blitz 22% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Lions have faced a blitz 27% of the time this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 47.4 against play action passes (32 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 99.1.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 22% of pass attempts against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Titans defense has intercepted 7 of 742 attempts (106.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.8.
The Titans defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 158 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) this season. — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
Offenses facing the Lions targeted WRs 73% of the time (168 Pass Attempts/229 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Lions defense have averaged 44.7 defensive penalty yards per game (268/6) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.8.
The Lions defense allowed first downs on 50% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 67% of pass attempts with a light rush last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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