- The Vikings are -3.5 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (4-6-0) on Nov. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Vikings vs. Bears Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -3.5 -105 | 39.5 -110 | -185 |
| Bears | +3.5 -115 | 39.5 -110 | +150 |
Vikings vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 86% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 66% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Kmet (CHI) | 22.5 -120 | 22.5 -110 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 16.5 -110 | 16.5 -120 |
| Keenan Allen (CHI) | 40.5 -120 | 40.5 -110 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 81.5 -115 | 81.5 -115 |
| Rome Odunze (CHI) | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 61.5 -115 | 61.5 -115 |
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 62.5 -120 | 62.5 -110 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.34 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in their last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 7-3 (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).
- Vikings are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 38.37% ROI
- Vikings are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- Vikings are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 5.43% ROI).
- Bears are 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -26.19% ROI
- Bears are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- Bears are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Vikings were 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Vikings are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .514.
The Vikings were 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears are 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bears were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Bears were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Bears were 3-9 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears have scored on 12.5% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 13.3% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Bears QBs have been 41 sacked this season — 2nd-most in NFL. The Vikings have sacked the quarterback 35 times this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Bears are averaging just 1.8 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 1.9 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Vikings have scored on 52% of their drives in the first quarter this season — best in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed scores on 40% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have averaged just -0.64 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed just -0.63 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Vikings ran successful plays on 73.7% of pass attempts with motion last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears allowed successful plays on 63.6% of pass attempts against motion last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings ran successful plays on 8% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Vikings have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (11/69) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.51 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bears ran successful plays on 17% of plays against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 33% of plays open coverage in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts open coverage in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 33 of 159 (21%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
60% of the plays ran against the Bears were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 53.9 in the red zone (33 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 94.0.
Offenses facing the Bears targeted RBs 41% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/17 plays) in Week 11 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
41% of the plays ran against the Bears were in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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