- The Lions are -3 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Minnesota Vikings (7-6) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (11-5) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Lions Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | +3 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +145 |
| Lions | -3 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -175 |
Vikings vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 18 game with 62.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence.
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Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings went 7-6 (+0.45 Units / 2.56% ROI).
- Vikings are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -6.91% ROI
- Vikings are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Vikings are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 11-5 (+5.5 Units / 31.16% ROI).
- Lions are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 5.54% ROI
- Lions are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Lions are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Vikings are 13-8 (.619) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 242.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings were undefeated (8-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Vikings are 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Vikings are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Lions are 20-7 (.741) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 56 times since the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Lions are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have turned the ball over 32 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Lions are undefeated (4-0) after a loss this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .487.
The Lions are 4-1 (.800) vs bottom 10 pass defenses this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have run successful plays on 47.4% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL. Vikings have allowed successful plays on 50.1% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 50.0% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL. Vikings have allowed successful plays on 48.2% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Lions RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 18.2% of 110 carries since Week 14 — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 10+ yards on 13.9% of carries to RBs since Week 14 — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of 24.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — worst in NFL.
The Vikings have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 29.4% of pass attempts this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Lions have pressured opposing QBs on 29.0% of passing plays this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown for 9,086 passing yards in 33 games (275.3 YPG) since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 242.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have started 17 drives inside their own 10 yard line since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
9% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (1 of 11) came on the ground in Week 17 — T-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Vikings have allowed a QB Hit on 32% of pass attempts since Week 14 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions have converted first downs on 98 of 303 plays (32%) in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Lions have faced a blitz 20% of the time this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Lions have scored 14 TDs in the red zone since Week 14 — most in NFL.
The Lions have run successful plays on 55% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense has forced 18 fumbles this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings defense did not record a sack (34 pass attempts) in Week 17 — T-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.2.
The Vikings have been flagged 4 times for 10+ yards on defense this season — fewest in NFL.
The Vikings defense has blitzed 278 times this season — most in NFL.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 20 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in Week 17. — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Lions defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Lions defense allowed 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,935 yards / 830 touches) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Lions defense have forced three and outs on 17% of opponent drives since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
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