Vikings vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 11

Tennessee Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins makes a catch during NFL football practice Tuesday, June 4, 2024, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)
(AP Photo/George Walker IV)
  • The Vikings are -6 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Minnesota Vikings (7-2-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (2-7-0) on Nov. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Vikings vs. Titans Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Vikings vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vikings-6 -11039.5 -110-250
Titans +6 -11039.5 -110+200

Vikings vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Vikings vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today

  • Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ty Chandler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Aaron Jones has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Vikings

Player Name Over Under
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 80.5 -115 80.5 -115
Calvin Ridley (TEN) 54.5 -115 54.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Vikings

Player Name Over Under
Aaron Jones (MIN) 60.5 -115 60.5 -115
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.34 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have scored first in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 6-3 (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Vikings are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 38.35% ROI
  • Vikings are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Vikings are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 1-8 (-7.75 Units / -79.49% ROI).

  • Titans are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -52.34% ROI
  • Titans are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
  • Titans are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Vikings are 7-2 (.778) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 8th-best in NFL. The Titans have turned the ball over 17 times this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Titans are winless (0-6) after a win since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .522.

The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Titans are 2-12 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .449.

The Titans were 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans have run just 11.8% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponent to run just 12.3% of plays in the red zone this season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Titans have run successful plays on 57.8% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on 55.7% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Titans ran just 7.8% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings allowed their opponent to run just 7.0% of plays in the red zone last week — 4th-best in NFL.

The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of 22.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 21.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Vikings ran 60.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed their opponents to run63.6% of plays in their territory last week — worst in NFL.

The Vikings have been successful on 60.0% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed their opponents to be successful on 55.6% of plays with a heavy rush this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats

The Vikings have gone three and out on 4% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Vikings have started 6 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

17 of the Vikings offense’s 21 (81%) TDs have come through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Titans were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (7/30) in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

The Titans have run 31% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats

The Vikings defense has allowed 30 of 148 (20%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Vikings defense has allowed a passer rating of just 6.3 with a stacked front (8 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 110.2.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

71% of the plays ran against the Titans were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 39% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Titans defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 89 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.