- The Vikings are -6 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Minnesota Vikings (7-2-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (2-7-0) on Nov. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Titans Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -6 -110 | 39.5 -110 | -250 |
| Titans | +6 -110 | 39.5 -110 | +200 |
Vikings vs. Titans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Titans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ty Chandler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 92% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Mason Rudolph has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 80.5 -115 | 80.5 -115 |
| Calvin Ridley (TEN) | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -115 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+4.34 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have scored first in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 6-3 (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Vikings are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 38.35% ROI
- Vikings are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Vikings are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / ROI
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 1-8 (-7.75 Units / -79.49% ROI).
- Titans are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -52.34% ROI
- Titans are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
- Titans are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Vikings are 7-2 (.778) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 8th-best in NFL. The Titans have turned the ball over 17 times this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Titans are winless (0-6) after a win since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .522.
The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Titans are 2-12 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .449.
The Titans were 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans have run just 11.8% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponent to run just 12.3% of plays in the red zone this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Titans have run successful plays on 57.8% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on 55.7% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Titans ran just 7.8% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings allowed their opponent to run just 7.0% of plays in the red zone last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Vikings have a third down conversion rate of 22.5% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 21.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings ran 60.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed their opponents to run63.6% of plays in their territory last week — worst in NFL.
The Vikings have been successful on 60.0% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Titans have allowed their opponents to be successful on 55.6% of plays with a heavy rush this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have gone three and out on 4% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Vikings have started 6 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
17 of the Vikings offense’s 21 (81%) TDs have come through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 29% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (7/30) in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8%.
The Titans have run 31% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense has allowed 30 of 148 (20%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Vikings defense has allowed a passer rating of just 6.3 with a stacked front (8 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 110.2.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
71% of the plays ran against the Titans were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Titans defense allowed successful plays on 39% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Titans defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 89 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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