- The Vikings are a 1.5-point home favorite against the Packers.
- The Vikings have won each of their last eight games.
- My Vikings vs. Packers prediction is a live-betting angle for the second half.
Continuing their pursuit of the division title, the Vikings host the Packers on Sunday in Minneapolis.
Minnesota earned a 27-24 road win against the Seahawks on Sunday, extending their winning streak to eight games. Earlier this season, Minnesota captured a 29-27 road win in Green Bay.
Green Bay’s Week 16 result is still to be determined, but oddsmakers expect a win as 14-point favorites. This season, three of Green Bay’s four losses have come in the division.
Bet on Vikings vs. Packers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 17 Odds: Vikings vs. Packers
Vikings vs. Packers Prediction
Based on the rest edge for Minnesota and Jordan Love’s strong record in the second half, my Vikings vs. Packers prediction is the Packers 2H Spread.
Minnesota owns one of the best ATS records in the first half. Entering Sunday’s game, the Vikings are 10-5 ATS in the first half, including a throttling of the Packers in Green Bay.
That first half saw the Vikings take a 28-7 lead into halftime before allowing the Packers to storm back and create a closer margin for the game.
Generally, that’s indicative of how the Packers play games behind Jordan Love.
Love is 14-16 ATS in the first half across his 30 career starts, including 7-8 away from home.
But where Love excels is in the second half, especially when he’s tied or trailing at halftime.
Love is 20-10 ATS across those 30 starts in the second half. When he’s tied or trailing at halftime, Love improves to 13-2 ATS, including a perfect 7-0 away from home.
From a metrics standpoint, Love recorded a marked improvement in recent second halves.
Dating back to Week 10, the Packers rank first in dropback EPA per play and third in dropback success rate after halftime.
Over the same time span, the Vikings rank 16th in dropback EPA per play allowed and fifth in dropback success rate, per rbsdm.com.
However, Minnesota’s inexperience against strong passing offenses should lead to a struggle after halftime.
Since Week 7, the Vikings have played only two games against teams 10th or better in pass offense DVOA.
Although the Vikings didn’t win either of those first halves, Kevin O’Connell’s side lost the second half at Los Angeles (N) in which it entered halftime tied.
The rest edge for Minnesota should allow for a positive start. If that happens, grab the Packers to cover the second-half spread.
Betting Vikings vs. Packers: NFL Public Betting
Check back on Friday for Vikings vs. Packers public betting data and insights.
