NHL Betting Trend: Road Favorites Dominate After Blowout Loss

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Colorado Avalanche left wing Gabriel Landeskog (92) celebrates his goal against the Detroit Red Wings in the first period of an NHL hockey game Wednesday, Feb. 23, 2022, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Andrew Doughty @DoughtyBetMGM Mar 24, 2022, 9:08 AM

Two days after the Colorado Avalanche suffered a 4-goal loss to the Boston Bruins on Feb. 24, they visited the Detroit Red Wings as a favorite. Gabriel Landeskog scored 72 seconds into the game as the Avs cruised to a 5-2 win, easily covering the puck line (-1.5, +105).

It was the fifth time over the last two seasons that Colorado was a road favorite in its first game after a loss by at least four goals. The Avs have covered in four of those five games, contributing their share of a highly profitable NHL betting trend.

Since the start of the 2021 season, there have been 47 games in which a road team was favored one game after a loss by at least four goals.

As of March 23, the road team is 29-17 ATS in those games, delivering a return on investment (ROI) of 61.2%.

If you bet $100 on each of the 47 road favorites, you’d be up $2,877 on a $4,700 investment.

More than 80% of that profit has come when the spread juice is at least +165; the road favorites are 17-10 ATS with an ROI of 87.6% and profit of $2,364 in those spots. Most recently, the Minnesota Wild covered (-1.5, +210) against the Edmonton Oilers on Feb. 20, two days after a 4-goal loss to the Florida Panthers.

Post-blowout road favorites are similarly successful on the moneyline. Currently riding a 10-game winning streak, they are 38-7 with an ROI of 41.5% and profit of $1,866 since 2021.

The last loss by a post-blowout road favorite came on Jan. 8 when the Washington Capitals blew a 2-goal lead in an eventual shootout loss to the Wild.

Here’s the active 10-game moneyline winning streak:

DateRoad FavoriteHome DogResult
3/17/22StarsCanadiensStars, 4-3
3/3/22WildFlyersWild, 5-4
2/23/22AvalancheRed WingsAvalanche, 5-2
2/20/22WildOilersWild, 7-3
2/12/22BruinsSenatorsBruins, 2-0
1/22/22LightningSharksLightning, 7-1
1/20/22PanthersOilersPanthers, 6-0
1/15/22CapitalsIslandersCapitals, 2-0
1/15/22PenguinsSharksPenguins, 2-1
1/13/22JetsRed WingsJets, 3-0

You can view updated NHL odds for the remainder of the regular season and Stanley Cup playoffs and more online sports betting opportunities at the BetMGM sportsbook.

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About the Author

Andrew Doughty

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Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.