3 Favorite Cross-Sport Bets For Super Bowl/WM Phoenix Open

Kansas City Chief fans do the "tomahawk chop" on the 16th hole as a golfer dressed in red makes his way to the green during the final round of the Phoenix Open golf tournament, Sunday, Feb. 12, 2023, in Scottsdale, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)

Welcome to one of the best sports weekends on the annual calendar.

As you might have already heard, the Super Bowl is being contested this Sunday between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles โ€“ a rematch of their battle from two years ago.

And as always, thereโ€™s a four-day appetizer to the main course, with the raucous WM Phoenix Open โ€“ The Peopleโ€™s Open! โ€“ beginning on Thursday at TPC Scottsdale.

If gorging yourself on snacks and beverages is a favorite pastime for this week, then betting a few cross-sport props must be a close second.

There are already a bunch of these wagers available at BetMGM. Here are three of my personal favorites.

3 Favorite Cross-Sport Bets For Super Bowl/WM Phoenix Open

A hole-in-one to occur and Chiefs to win (+240)

Stick with me here, because weโ€™re about to do a little math. Over the past 10 years, thereโ€™s been a hole-in-one at TPC Scottsdale in six editions of the WM Phoenix Open. (Three of those years saw multiple aces.) Thatโ€™s a rate of 60 percent. Easy enough, right? Well, this week BetMGM doesnโ€™t list a hole-in-one prop for the entire tournament, but each specific round instead.ย 

For the first two days, the odds are +350; on Saturday, they climb to +600 and on Sunday theyโ€™re +800. (The third-round hole location at the famous 16th is traditionally easier than during the final round.) Which means the implied probability for the four days is 22 percent, 22 percent, 14.9 percent and 11.1 percent, respectively. Iโ€™ll give the BetMGM traders credit for doing their calculations, as this comes out to a 60 percent implied probability of a hole-in-one at some point this week, which falls exactly in line with what weโ€™ve witnessed during the past decade. That probability equates to odds of -150. Now, letโ€™s get to the Chiefs, who remain a -1.5 favorite to win the Super Bowl. Personally, Iโ€™ve gone back and forth over the past week on whether to back Kansas City or Philly, but Iโ€™m committing to the fave on the money line, which is currently -120.ย 

Using a handy parlay calculator, we can tell that a wager on both prices would have the odds at +205, which means weโ€™re getting a nice bargain here at .35 points higher. If you like the Eagles to win โ€“theyโ€™re currently even-money on the money-line โ€“ the parlay odds for that and a hole-in-one are +233, which means youโ€™re similarly getting a nice deal at +290 right now.

Scottie Scheffler to win WM Phoenix Open and Moro Ojomo to record a sack (+1800)

Look, I know Iโ€™m the golf guy โ€˜round here, but Iโ€™m also a massive NFL consumer and Iโ€™d guesstimate that Iโ€™ve probably watched a majority of at least three-quarters of the Eagles games this year. Even so, the BetMGM traders had me digging around the olโ€™ Google machine for some Ojomo tidbits on this one. I wouldโ€™ve preferred Josh Sweat or Nolan Smith here, but the second-year defensive tackle from the University of Texas provides an intriguing proposition โ€“ and a bigger price than the teamโ€™s regular season sack leaders. During the first 17 games, Ojomo played just 37 percent of the teamโ€™s defensive snaps, but that number climbed as the season progressed. Itโ€™s not just quantity that heโ€™s providing, either; thereโ€™s some quality here, too. In the Eaglesโ€™ first 15 games, he recorded just a dozen solo/assisted tackles, but heโ€™s posted 13 in the last five. That includes his first career sack in the divisional round against the Rams.ย 

While Patrick Mahomes is elusive as they come, the Chiefs ranked just 17th in the NFL in sacks allowed this season, so thereโ€™s certainly an opportunity for him to be pressured from the edge, step up in the pocket and get swallowed by the 292-pound Ojomo. Of course, this wager is more of a confidence play in Scheffler than anything else. Over the past three editions of the WM, heโ€™s posted two victories and a third-place finish.

As I wrote in my weekly preview, I love the idea of pairing Scheffler finishing position bets with longshot Super Bowl props. (At BetMGM, you can also pair a Scheffler win with a Xavier Worthy touchdown at +875.) At shorter than 3/1, itโ€™s difficult to get too excited about playing Scottie outright, but a victory right before kickoff will have you keeping a keen eye on No. 97 in green for the next three hours.

WM Phoenix Open to end in a playoff and Super Bowl LIX to go to overtime (+3500)

For someone who loves a longshot, this might be my favorite of all the cross-sport props this week. Over the past decade, the festivities in Phoenix have gone to a playoff six times โ€“ and yes, I remember them well, as the lone guy at the Super Bowl party trying to change the channel during those long-awaited commercials. This includes two of the last three editions, with Scheffler toppling Patrick Cantlay in 2022 and Nick Taylor outlasting Charley Hoffman last year.ย 

Thereโ€™s something about the rollicking final four-hole stretch that tends to push a few contenders together instead of providing separation, so the odds are certainly in our favor to see a little free golf again this week. (That is, if everyone at the Super Bowl party will let us.) The odds arenโ€™t nearly as good for overtime in the big game. Of the 58 previous editions of the Super Bowl, there have only been two overtime periods, though theyโ€™ve both occurred in the past eight years, with the most recent taking place last year, when the Chiefs defeated the 49ers.ย 

Two years ago, in the first matchup between the Chiefs and Eagles, overtime was a very real possibility, as the former needed a last-second field goal to clinch a three-point victory. With a 1.5-point spread this week, oddsmakers and bettors alike are expecting another close contest. BetMGM odds for a WM playoff are +350 and Super Bowl overtime are +700, which equates exactly to the 35/1 price we have here. Weโ€™re not getting a deal on this one, but itโ€™s still a tantalizing proposition for those who enjoy a longshot parlay.

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About the Author

Jason Sobel

Read More @JasonSobelGolf

Jason Sobel is a Brand Ambassador for BetMGM. He joins after six years with Action Network. Prior to Action, Jason spent a total of 17 years in two stints at ESPN (1997-2011; 2015-18) and four years at Golf Channel (2011-15). He also currently works as a host for "Hitting the Green" on SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio and contributes to the channel's on-site coverage during major championships. He's won four Sports Emmy awards, more than a dozen Golf Writers Association of America accolades and has earned an honorable mention in the Best of American Sportswriting series.

Jason Sobel is a Brand Ambassador for BetMGM. He joins after six years with Action Network. Prior to Action, Jason spent a total of 17 years in two stints at ESPN (1997-2011; 2015-18) and four years at Golf Channel (2011-15). He also currently works as a host for "Hitting the Green" on SiriusXM PGA Tour Radio and contributes to the channel's on-site coverage during major championships. He's won four Sports Emmy awards, more than a dozen Golf Writers Association of America accolades and has earned an honorable mention in the Best of American Sportswriting series.