- Rory McIlroy (+450) is predicted to win the RBC Canadian Open.
- I predict Keith Mitchell (+4000) is worth a bet to earn a win at TPC Toronto.
- Why Harry Hall (+3500) should continue his 2025 form at TPC Toronto.
Only one event separates the PGA Tour schedule from the 2025 U.S. Open: the RBC Canadian Open.
This year, TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley hosts the event for the first time. Rory McIlroy, who elected to skip the Memorial, arrives as the pre-tournament favorite at +450.
Other notables in the field include Ludvig Aberg (+1400), Shane Lowry (+1800), Corey Conners (+1800) and Sam Burns (+2500).
Now, let’s dive into my PGA Expert Picks for the RBC Canadian Open. Golf odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
RBC Canadian Open Odds
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +450 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1400 |
| Corey Conners | +1800 |
| Shane Lowry | +1800 |
| Robert MacIntyre | +2500 |
| Sam Burns | +2500 |
| Taylor Pendrith | +2500 |
| Sungjae Im | +2800 |
| Harry Hall | +4000 |
| Keith Mitchell | +4000 |
| Luke Clanton | +4000 |
| Nick Taylor | +4000 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | +4500 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | +5000 |
| Alex Noren | +5500 |
PGA Tour Expert Picks: RBC Canadian Open
Keith Mitchell (+4000)
If my assumptions about TPC Toronto are correct, bombers off the tee should carry an advantage over the rest of the field.
The Par-70 measures just under 7,400 yards with six of the 12 Par 4’s measuring over 480 yards, with four ranging between 400 and 450 yards.
That brings me to Mitchell, who sits 25th in driving distance gained over the last 24 rounds. He also ranks 12th in both SG: OTT and SG: APP over the same timeframe.
Mitchell also ranks second in birdies or better gained over his last 24 rounds and has gained strokes putting in seven straight events. At Colonial, he spiked to +5.6 strokes putting.
An added bonus on Mitchell? Over the last 12 months, he ranks third on Tour in birdies or better on Par 4s.
Although previous Canadian Open venues carry minimal correlation with TPC Toronto, Mitchell previously excelled north of the border.
The Georgia product finished 10th or better in two of his previous three Canadian Opens. Plus, Mitchell finished T-18th at the Houston Open, a strongly correlative setup to Toronto.
As a result, I like Mitchell’s profile at a venue that rewards big hitters.
Harry Hall (+4000)
The number leaves a touch to be desired on Hall, but his recent metrics are strong enough to quell some concern.
Hall leads the PGA Tour in birdies or better gained on Par 4’s over the last 12 months.
Over his last four events, Hall gained +16.4 strokes on Par 4’s, including +9.9 on holes measuring between 450 and 500 yards.
Sample Hall’s previous 50 rounds and bettors will find Hall ranks third in birdies or better gained, sixth in Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 yards and fifth in Par 4 Efficiency: 500+ yards.
Shrink the sample down to his previous 24 rounds: 10th, 5th and 11th, respectively.
Another optimistic view of Hall is that he has recently excelled with the putter.
Hall ranks fourth in SG: Putting over his last 24 rounds and has gained at least +3.2 strokes in three straight events.
If Hall can pair those putting trends with recent ball-striking improvements – +5.1 tee-to-green or better in two of his last four – I like him to contend in Canada.
RBC Canadian Open Betting Model
- SG: Off the Tee (10%)
- Driving Distance Gained (10%)
- SG: Approach (20%)
- Proximity Gained: 175-200 Yards (5%)
- Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards (5%)
- Birdies or Better Gained (15%)
- Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 Yards (17%)
- Par 4 Efficiency: 500+ Yards (13%)
- SG: Putting (5%)
