WGC-Dell Technologies 2023: Predictions, Best Bets, Sleepers

min read
Will Zalatoris watches his shot from the tenth tee during the third round of the Dell Technologies Match Play Championship golf tournament, Friday, March 25, 2022, in Austin, Texas.
(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable Mar 21, 2023, 9:29 AM
  • The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play is March 22-26, which is a designated event.
  • This is the last year of the tournament.
  • Defending champion Scottie Scheffler (+800) has the best odds to win.

The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play is one of the most unique weeks on the PGA Tour. 

It’s match play instead of stroke play, and the tournament begins on Wednesday to allow for three days of round-robin play before the win and advance bracket stage for the weekend.

It’s also the final year of this event, but will end as its best ever. It is a designated event with a $20 million purse and virtually all the best players on the PGA Tour are in the field.

Defending champion Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win at +800.

The 64 players in the field have been placed into 16 pods of four players (based on world ranking) and will play a round-robin format over the first three days. The winners from each pod make it to the Round of 16 and then play bracket style until a winner is determined.

Austin Country Club will host the event for the seventh straight year. It’s a Pete Dye-designed course that plays firm and fast with Bermuda greens. A perfect course for match play, it neutralizes longer hitters and is a good risk-reward course.

When selecting players to win, looking at the other players in their group is important. By predicting the winner of each group, you narrow the field and pick an overall winner.

Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week.

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Predictions

Scottie Scheffler is predicted to win the Valspar Championship with an 11.11% implied probability – i.e., the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds – according to betting markets.

Jon Rahm has the next best odds to win with an 8.33% implied probability. He’s followed by Rory McIlroy at 7.69%.

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Best Bets

Scottie Scheffler +800 Odds to Win

Scheffler has the best odds to win, and for good reason. Not only does he come into the tournament off a win at the Players Championship, but he’s also made the finals of this event each of the last two years, including winning last year.

He does have a group to get out of, which includes Tom Kim, who shined at the Presidents Cup last fall.

Jon Rahm +1100 Odds to Win

Rahm has a solid history at this event; he’s one of four players to make the Round of 16 at least three times at Austin Country Club. While he didn’t have a terrible Florida Swing, he’s likely happy to be in a different part of the country.

It is worth noting Rahm is in one of the toughest groups, which includes Rickie Fowler and Billy Horschel, who won this event two years ago.

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Sleepers

Corey Conners +5500 Odds to Win

Conners made the semifinals a year ago and beat Dustin Johnson in the third-place match. His ball striking is great for match play; he’s rarely completely out of a hole, which puts pressure on his opponent.

The 31-year-old has a favorable group, with Cameron Young as the top-ranked player. Conners just changed caddies, so this could be a good week for him to pull off an upset and advance.

Brian Harman +8000 Odds to Win

Harman has flown a bit under the radar despite making the group stage twice. While he doesn’t hit the ball very far, he’s used the firm and fast conditions at Austin Country Club to his advantage. 

Harman is ranked No. 25 in the field, and the highest-ranked player in his group is Patrick Cantlay. It seems like he has the skill and experience to get past Cantlay and the rest of the group.

WGC-Dell Technologies Betting Card & Other Predictions

  • Jordan Spieth Outright Win +2200
  • Tyrrell Hatton Outright Win +2500
  • Will Zalatoris Outright Win +3300
  • Corey Conners Outright Win +5500
  • Will Zalatoris to Win Group 7 +170
  • Corey Conners to Win Group 15 +225
  • Brian Harman to Win Group 4 +300

I did not do a Fantasy National model this week as it doesn’t make much sense for match play. When it came to my picks I went with players who have had success at this tournament before. Every player selected has made it out of group play at least once before.

This is also a good week to place bets on the individual matches come the weekend. 

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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”