- Fulham is predicted to be a +0.5-goal underdog against Newcastle.
- Newcastle has won six straight against Fulham in all competitions.
- I predict Newcastle United will earn all three points on Saturday.
Seeking their fourth win in five games, Newcastle United travels to London on Saturday for a meeting with Fulham.
The Magpies used a second-half comeback against Wolves on Sunday to earn all three points.
Fulham, meanwhile, took an early lead against West Ham but conceded in the 95th minute to draw 1-1.
Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. Newcastle Prediction.
Fulham vs. Newcastle Odds, Premier League
- Fulham Moneyline: +175
- Newcastle Moneyline: +138
- Draw Moneyline: +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-175/+125)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-200), No (+138)
Fulham vs. Newcastle Prediction: Moneyline
My Fulham vs. Newcastle prediction is the Newcastle United Moneyline (+138).
I love this spot for Newcastle, which has won six straight against Fulham in all competitions.
The match I’m placing the most stock into is last season’s FA Cup meeting, a 2-0 Newcastle win.
That marks the most recent match where Fulham operated without Joao Palhinha and Tosin Adarabioyo.
Without them, Marco Silva’s side lost the post-shot expected goals battle 2.2-0.6, per fotmob.com.
Fulham also plays this match on short rest. The Cottagers travel to Preston on Wednesday before returning home to face Newcastle.
The Magpies, meanwhile, have six days between games.
Even if Fulham rotate out key players on Wednesday, they’ll have to overcome a system suggesting a bet on the Newcastle moneyline.
Since 2012, visiting favorites in games 1-6 priced between -190 and +150 are 45-17 SU, assuming two factors:
- The previous head-to-head result fell between +0 and +2
- The previous game the favorite was a favorite
When those teams are coming off a win, they improve to 27-9 SU (75%).
For those reasons, bet Newcastle United to earn all three points on Saturday at Craven Cottage.
Fulham Record, Last 5 Matches
- Sept. 14 vs. West Ham: 1-1, D
- Aug. 31 at Ipswich Town: 1-1, D
- Aug. 27 at Birmingham: 2-0, W (EFL Cup)
- Aug. 24 vs. Leicester City: 2-1, W
- Aug. 16 at Manchester United: 0-1, L
Newcastle Record, Last 5 Matches
- Sept. 15 at Wolves: 2-1, W
- Sept. 1 vs. Tottenham: 2-1, W
- Aug. 28 at Nottingham Forest: 1-1, D (EFL Cup, Forest Advance)
- Aug. 25 at Bournemouth: 1-1, D
- Aug. 17 vs. Southampton: 1-0, W
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Fulham odds and Newcastle United odds!
EPL Match Schedule This Weekend
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Brighton | Chelsea | Feb. 14 | 3 p.m. | Amex Stadium |
| Leicester City | Arsenal | Feb. 15 | 7:30 a.m. | King Power Stadium |
| Aston Villa | Ipswich Town | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | Villa Park |
| Fulham | Nottingham Forest | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
| Man City | Newcastle United | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | Etihad Stadium |
| Southampton | Bournemouth | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
| West Ham United | Brentford | Feb. 15 | 10 a.m. | London Stadium |
| Crystal Palace | Everton | Feb. 15 | 12:30 p.m. | Selhurst Park |
| Liverpool | Wolves | Feb. 16 | 9 a.m. | Anfield |
| Tottenham | Manchester United | Feb. 16 | 11:30 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 17-5-1 | 56 | 35 |
| Arsenal | 14-8-2 | 50 | 27 |
| Nottingham Forest | 14-5-5 | 47 | 13 |
| Chelsea | 12-7-5 | 43 | 16 |
| Manchester City | 12-5-7 | 41 | 13 |
| Newcastle United | 12-5-7 | 41 | 13 |
| Bournemouth | 11-7-6 | 40 | 13 |
| Aston Villa | 10-7-7 | 37 | -3 |
| Fulham | 9-9-6 | 36 | 4 |
| Brighton | 8-10-6 | 34 | -3 |
| Brentford | 9-4-11 | 31 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace | 7-9-8 | 30 | -2 |
| Manchester United | 8-5-11 | 29 | -6 |
| Tottenham | 8-3-13 | 27 | 11 |
| West Ham United | 7-6-11 | 27 | -17 |
| Everton | 6-8-9 | 26 | -5 |
| Wolves | 5-4-15 | 19 | -18 |
| Leicester City | 3-5-15 | 17 | -28 |
| Ipswich Town | 3-7-14 | 16 | -27 |
| Southampton | 2-3-19 | 9 | -36 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 9-10-5 | 47.9% | 3-6-3 | 37.5% | 6-4-2 | 58.3% |
| Aston Villa | 8-15-1 | 35.4% | 3-8-1 | 29.2% | 5-7-0 | 41.7% |
| Bournemouth | 16-8-0 | 66.7% | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 9-3-0 | 75.0% |
| Brentford | 14-8-2 | 62.5% | 8-5-0 | 61.5% | 6-3-2 | 63.6% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 12-11-1 | 52.1% | 4-7-0 | 36.4% | 8-4-1 | 65.4% |
| Chelsea | 9-13-2 | 41.7% | 4-7-1 | 37.5% | 5-6-1 | 45.8% |
| Crystal Palace | 13-8-3 | 60.4% | 4-5-3 | 45.8% | 9-3-0 | 75.0% |
| Everton | 12-9-2 | 56.5% | 6-5-1 | 54.2% | 6-4-1 | 59.1% |
| Fulham | 14-8-2 | 62.5% | 5-7-0 | 41.7% | 8-2-2 | 75.0% |
| Ipswich Town | 10-13-1 | 43.8% | 4-9-0 | 30.8% | 6-4-1 | 59.1% |
| Leicester City | 11-12-1 | 47.9% | 5-7-0 | 41.7% | 6-5-1 | 54.2% |
| Liverpool | 13-9-1 | 58.7% | 5-5-1 | 50.0% | 8-4-0 | 66.7% |
| Manchester City | 7-17-0 | 29.2% | 3-8-0 | 27.3% | 4-9-0 | 30.8% |
| Manchester United | 10-12-2 | 45.8% | 5-7-1 | 42.3% | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| Newcastle United | 13-10-1 | 56.3% | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 6-5-1 | 54.2% |
| Nottingham Forest | 16-8-0 | 66.7% | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 9-3-0 | 75.0% |
| Southampton | 9-12-3 | 43.8% | 2-8-1 | 22.7% | 7-4-2 | 61.5% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 9-15-0 | 37.5% | 4-8-0 | 33.3% | 5-7-0 | 41.7% |
| West Ham United | 12-11-1 | 52.1% | 4-7-1 | 37.5% | 8-4-0 | 66.7% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 10-12-2 | 45.8% | 5-6-1 | 45.8% | 5-6-1 | 45.8% |
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