Fulham vs. West Ham Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Fulham's Rodrigo Muniz in action during the English FA Cup fourth round match between Fulham and Newcastle United at Craven Cottage In London, Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024.
(AP Photo/Alastair Grant)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 13, 2024, 12:22 PM
  • Fulham is predicted to be a -0.5-goal favorite against West Ham.
  • Fulham finished 2-0 SU against West Ham United in 2023-24.
  • I predict the hosts will do no worse than a point on Saturday.

Returning from the international break, Fulham host West Ham United in a London Derby at Craven Cottage.ย 

Marco Silva will look for his third straight win against the Hammers on Saturday. Last year, Fulham captured a 5-0 home win in the fall before pounding West Ham 2-0 in the spring.ย 

The Hammers have started this campaign slowly. A Matchday 2 trip to Crystal Palace remains their only victory, with losses to Aston Villa and Manchester City sandwiched on either side.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. West Ham prediction.ย 

Fulham vs. West Ham Odds, Premier League

  • Fulham Moneyline: +140
  • West Ham Moneyline: +175
  • Draw Moneyline: +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-150/+110)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-175), No (+125)

Fulham vs. West Ham Prediction: Game Spread

My prediction for Fulham vs. West Ham is Fulham Draw, No Bet (-140) based on their strong record against West Ham.ย 

It cannot be overstated how dominant Fulham were in the two matches last season.ย 

They won 5-0 at Craven Cottage with a 4.02-1.32 win on post-shot expected goals, per fotmob.com.ย 

At the London Stadium, Fulham captured a 2-0 win. However, post-shot expected goals finished 3.88-0.24 in favor of the visitors.ย 

Although West Ham played both of those matches on short rest โ€” Fulham was also on short rest for the first meeting โ€” Marco Silva is outstanding with extra time to prepare.ย 

Since rejoining the English top flight in 2022, Silva is 6-2-0 (W-D-L) as a favorite with eight or more days between games.ย 

Since 2018, Fulham is 8-3 SU as favorites against the three-way moneyline with eight or more days to prepare and 9-1-2 (W-D-L) against draw, no bet.ย 

Fulham also matches a historically profitable system that suggests theyโ€™ll win outright.ย 

Since 2012, half-goal home favorites off a draw or one-goal win on the road are 58-26 SU in September, April or May.ย 

Those teams also did no worse than a point in 70 of those 84 games.ย 

When those teams are facing a team that lost their last game, they improve to 22-7 SU (76%) and have dropped all three points only one time.ย 

Finally, some betting calculus.ย 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are both heavily juiced in this fixture. However, both team totals are juiced to under 1.5 goals.ย 

When that happens, I love backing the favorite, particularly at home.ย 

In addition, Fulham have earned points in 64% of home matches since 2022, so Iโ€™ll back the hosts on Saturday.ย 

Fulham Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 31 at Ipswich Town: 1-1, D
  • Aug. 27 at Birmingham: 2-0, W (EFL Cup)
  • Aug. 24 vs. Leicester City: 2-1, W
  • Aug. 16 at Manchester United: 0-1, L
  • Aug. 10 at Hoffenheim: 2-0, W (Friendly)

West Ham Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 31 vs. Manchester City: 1-3, L
  • Aug. 28 vs. Bournemouth: 1-0, W (EFL Cup)
  • Aug. 24 at Crystal Palace: 2-0, W
  • Aug. 17 vs. Aston Villa: 1-2, L
  • Aug. 10 vs. Celta Vigo: 2-2, D (Friendly)

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Fulham odds and West Ham United odds!ย 

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667
EPL Odds

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.