Man City vs. West Ham Prediction, Expert Pick | EPL – BetMGM

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Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, March 3, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion May 16, 2024, 12:07 PM
  • Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against West Ham.
  • City need a win to claim their fourth straight league title.
  • Why bettors should look to this prop market for West Ham.

Needing a win to secure their fourth consecutive league title, Manchester City welcome West Ham United to the Etihad Stadium.ย 

For West Ham to earn points, the task is nothing short of gargantuan. City enters this match winners of eight straight matches by a 30-5 margin and beat West Ham 3-1.ย 

Unfortunately for those hoping for West Ham to deny City the title, itโ€™s worth noting they have nothing left to play for and are facing a City side unbeaten at home in the league.ย 

With the stakes established, hereโ€™s a look at the EPL odds and my pick for Sundayโ€™s match.ย 

EPL Odds – Man City vs. West Ham

  • Man City Moneyline: -1000
  • West Ham Moneyline: +2200
  • Draw Moneyline: +1050
  • Over/Under: 4.5 Goals (+115/-160)

Premier League Prediction – Man City vs. West Ham

West Ham United Under 1.5 Corners (-105)ย 

West Ham notched four corner kicks in the reverse fixture at home, but bettors should expect a different result on the road.ย 

This season, the Hammers see a decent dropoff in corner production away from home. To date, their corners average drops by 0.41 corners/game away from home.ย 

Plus, theyโ€™re facing a City side that doesnโ€™t let many teams come into the Etihad and rack up a high corner count.ย 

City lead the league in corner kicks allowed at home (2.5) and held West Ham to three corners the last time they played at the Etihad.ย 

In Cityโ€™s last home match against Wolves, they allowed zero corner kicks. Thatโ€™s indicative of a strong record against teams well beneath Cityโ€™s quality.ย 

Sample Cityโ€™s home matches against teams eighth or worse in the current Premier League table, and bettors will find only three managed at least three corner kicks.ย 

Irrespective of opponent quality, only seven of Manchester Cityโ€™s 18 home opponents have cleared 2.5 corners.ย 

This also rates out a great sell-high spot on the Hammers, who have cleared 2.5 corners in four of their last five and 10 of their previous 11.ย 

However, if the Hammers are incapable of generating a corner kick at Crystal Palace, a side that allows four corners per game at home, they shouldnโ€™t do much better at City.ย 

Take the under on their corner kicks prop as a result.ย 

Man City Formย 

May 14 at Tottenham: 2-0, W

May 11 at Fulham: 4-0, W

May 4 vs. Wolves: 5-1, W

April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W

April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W

West Ham Form

May 11 vs. Luton Town: 3-1, W

May 5 at Chelsea: 0-5, L

April 27 vs. Liverpool: 2-2, D

April 21 at Crystal Palace: 2-5, L

April 18 vs. Leverkusen: 1-1, D (Europa League)ย 

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.