- Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against West Ham.
- City need a win to claim their fourth straight league title.
- Why bettors should look to this prop market for West Ham.
Needing a win to secure their fourth consecutive league title, Manchester City welcome West Ham United to the Etihad Stadium.
For West Ham to earn points, the task is nothing short of gargantuan. City enters this match winners of eight straight matches by a 30-5 margin and beat West Ham 3-1.
Unfortunately for those hoping for West Ham to deny City the title, it’s worth noting they have nothing left to play for and are facing a City side unbeaten at home in the league.
With the stakes established, here’s a look at the EPL odds and my pick for Sunday’s match.
EPL Odds – Man City vs. West Ham
- Man City Moneyline: -1000
- West Ham Moneyline: +2200
- Draw Moneyline: +1050
- Over/Under: 4.5 Goals (+115/-160)
Premier League Prediction – Man City vs. West Ham
West Ham United Under 1.5 Corners (-105)
West Ham notched four corner kicks in the reverse fixture at home, but bettors should expect a different result on the road.
This season, the Hammers see a decent dropoff in corner production away from home. To date, their corners average drops by 0.41 corners/game away from home.
Plus, they’re facing a City side that doesn’t let many teams come into the Etihad and rack up a high corner count.
City lead the league in corner kicks allowed at home (2.5) and held West Ham to three corners the last time they played at the Etihad.
In City’s last home match against Wolves, they allowed zero corner kicks. That’s indicative of a strong record against teams well beneath City’s quality.
Sample City’s home matches against teams eighth or worse in the current Premier League table, and bettors will find only three managed at least three corner kicks.
Irrespective of opponent quality, only seven of Manchester City’s 18 home opponents have cleared 2.5 corners.
This also rates out a great sell-high spot on the Hammers, who have cleared 2.5 corners in four of their last five and 10 of their previous 11.
However, if the Hammers are incapable of generating a corner kick at Crystal Palace, a side that allows four corners per game at home, they shouldn’t do much better at City.
Take the under on their corner kicks prop as a result.
Man City Form
May 14 at Tottenham: 2-0, W
May 11 at Fulham: 4-0, W
May 4 vs. Wolves: 5-1, W
April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W
April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W
West Ham Form
May 11 vs. Luton Town: 3-1, W
May 5 at Chelsea: 0-5, L
April 27 vs. Liverpool: 2-2, D
April 21 at Crystal Palace: 2-5, L
April 18 vs. Leverkusen: 1-1, D (Europa League)
Upcoming EPL Match Schedule
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Fulham | Everton | May. 10 | 10 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
| Ipswich Town | Brentford | May. 10 | 10 a.m. | Portman Road |
| Southampton | Manchester City | May. 10 | 10 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
| Wolves | Brighton | May. 10 | 10 a.m. | Molineux |
| Bournemouth | Aston Villa | May. 10 | 12:30 p.m. | Vitality Stadium |
| Newcastle United | Chelsea | May. 11 | 7 a.m. | St. James' Park |
| Nottingham Forest | Leicester City | May. 11 | 9:15 a.m. | The City Ground |
| Manchester United | West Ham United | May. 11 | 9:15 a.m. | Old Trafford |
| Tottenham | Crystal Palace | May. 11 | 9:15 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Liverpool | Arsenal | May. 11 | 11:30 a.m. | Anfield |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 25-7-3 | 82 | 46 |
| Arsenal | 18-13-4 | 67 | 33 |
| Manchester City | 19-7-9 | 64 | 24 |
| Newcastle United | 19-6-10 | 63 | 21 |
| Chelsea | 18-9-8 | 63 | 21 |
| Nottingham Forest | 18-7-10 | 61 | 12 |
| Aston Villa | 17-9-9 | 60 | 6 |
| Bournemouth | 14-11-10 | 53 | 12 |
| Brentford | 15-7-13 | 52 | 9 |
| Brighton | 13-14-8 | 52 | 1 |
| Fulham | 14-9-12 | 51 | 3 |
| Crystal Palace | 11-13-11 | 46 | -4 |
| Wolves | 12-5-18 | 41 | -11 |
| Everton | 8-15-12 | 39 | -7 |
| Manchester United | 10-9-16 | 39 | -9 |
| Tottenham | 11-5-19 | 38 | 6 |
| West Ham | 9-10-16 | 37 | -19 |
| Ipswich Town | 4-10-21 | 22 | -41 |
| Leicester City | 5-6-24 | 21 | -47 |
| Southampton | 2-5-28 | 11 | -57 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 12-17-6 | 42.9% | 4-10-4 | 33.3% | 8-7-2 | 52.9% |
| Aston Villa | 16-18-1 | 47.1% | 8-9-1 | 47.2% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% |
| Bournemouth | 19-14-2 | 57.1% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 11-5-2 | 66.7% |
| Brentford | 22-11-2 | 65.7% | 11-7-0 | 61.1% | 11-4-2 | 70.6% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 19-15-1 | 55.7% | 9-9-0 | 50.0% | 10-6-1 | 61.8% |
| Chelsea | 13-19-3 | 41.4% | 7-9-2 | 44.4% | 6-10-1 | 38.2% |
| Crystal Palace | 18-13-4 | 57.1% | 7-7-4 | 50.0% | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| Everton | 17-12-6 | 57.1% | 8-8-2 | 50.0% | 9-4-4 | 64.7% |
| Fulham | 18-13-4 | 57.1% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 9-5-4 | 61.1% |
| Ipswich Town | 14-19-2 | 42.9% | 4-13-0 | 23.5% | 10-6-2 | 61.1% |
| Leicester City | 16-18-1 | 47.1% | 7-11-0 | 38.9% | 9-7-1 | 55.9% |
| Liverpool | 16-17-2 | 48.6% | 7-8-2 | 47.1% | 9-9-0 | 50.0% |
| Manchester City | 12-23-0 | 34.3% | 6-12-0 | 33.3% | 6-11-0 | 35.3% |
| Manchester United | 14-17-4 | 45.7% | 7-8-2 | 47.1% | 7-9-2 | 44.4% |
| Newcastle United | 20-14-1 | 58.6% | 12-5-0 | 70.6% | 8-9-1 | 47.2% |
| Nottingham Forest | 22-13-0 | 62.9% | 10-7-0 | 58.8% | 12-6-0 | 66.7% |
| Southampton | 12-19-4 | 40.0% | 3-12-2 | 23.5% | 9-7-2 | 55.6% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 13-21-1 | 38.6% | 6-10-1 | 38.2% | 7-11-0 | 38.9% |
| West Ham United | 17-16-2 | 51.4% | 6-11-1 | 36.1% | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 19-13-3 | 58.6% | 8-7-2 | 52.9% | 11-6-1 | 63.9% |
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