Man City vs. West Ham Prediction, Expert Pick | EPL – BetMGM

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Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, March 3, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion May 16, 2024, 12:07 PM
  • Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against West Ham.
  • City need a win to claim their fourth straight league title.
  • Why bettors should look to this prop market for West Ham.

Needing a win to secure their fourth consecutive league title, Manchester City welcome West Ham United to the Etihad Stadium. 

For West Ham to earn points, the task is nothing short of gargantuan. City enters this match winners of eight straight matches by a 30-5 margin and beat West Ham 3-1. 

Unfortunately for those hoping for West Ham to deny City the title, it’s worth noting they have nothing left to play for and are facing a City side unbeaten at home in the league. 

With the stakes established, here’s a look at the EPL odds and my pick for Sunday’s match. 

EPL Odds – Man City vs. West Ham

  • Man City Moneyline: -1000
  • West Ham Moneyline: +2200
  • Draw Moneyline: +1050
  • Over/Under: 4.5 Goals (+115/-160)

Premier League Prediction – Man City vs. West Ham

West Ham United Under 1.5 Corners (-105) 

West Ham notched four corner kicks in the reverse fixture at home, but bettors should expect a different result on the road. 

This season, the Hammers see a decent dropoff in corner production away from home. To date, their corners average drops by 0.41 corners/game away from home. 

Plus, they’re facing a City side that doesn’t let many teams come into the Etihad and rack up a high corner count. 

City lead the league in corner kicks allowed at home (2.5) and held West Ham to three corners the last time they played at the Etihad. 

In City’s last home match against Wolves, they allowed zero corner kicks. That’s indicative of a strong record against teams well beneath City’s quality. 

Sample City’s home matches against teams eighth or worse in the current Premier League table, and bettors will find only three managed at least three corner kicks. 

Irrespective of opponent quality, only seven of Manchester City’s 18 home opponents have cleared 2.5 corners. 

This also rates out a great sell-high spot on the Hammers, who have cleared 2.5 corners in four of their last five and 10 of their previous 11. 

However, if the Hammers are incapable of generating a corner kick at Crystal Palace, a side that allows four corners per game at home, they shouldn’t do much better at City. 

Take the under on their corner kicks prop as a result. 

Man City Form 

May 14 at Tottenham: 2-0, W

May 11 at Fulham: 4-0, W

May 4 vs. Wolves: 5-1, W

April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W

April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W

West Ham Form

May 11 vs. Luton Town: 3-1, W

May 5 at Chelsea: 0-5, L

April 27 vs. Liverpool: 2-2, D

April 21 at Crystal Palace: 2-5, L

April 18 vs. Leverkusen: 1-1, D (Europa League) 

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
ArsenalEvertonMay. 1911:00 AMEmirates Stadium
Man CityWest Ham UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMEtihad Stadium
BrentfordNewcastle UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMGTech Community Stadium
Brighton & Hove AlbionManchester UnitedMay. 1911:00 AMAmex Stadium
BurnleyNottingham ForestMay. 1911:00 AMTurf Moor
ChelseaBournemouthMay. 1911:00 AMStamford Bridge
Crystal PalaceAston VillaMay. 1911:00 AMSelhurst Park
LiverpoolWolvesMay. 1911:00 AMAnfield
Luton TownFulhamMay. 1911:00 AMKenilworth Road
Sheffield UnitedTottenhamMay. 1911:00 AMBramall Lane

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal DifferentialNotes
Manchester City27-7-38860---
Arsenal FC27-5-58661---
Liverpool FC23-10-47943---
Aston Villa FC20-8-96820---
Tottenham Hotspur19-6-126310---
Chelsea FC17-9-116013---
Newcastle United17-6-145721---
Manchester United17-6-1457-3---
West Ham United14-10-1352-12---
Brighton & Hove Albion12-12-1248-4---
Crystal Palace12-10-1546-6---
Fulham FC12-8-1744-8---
Everton13-9-1540-108 Point Deduction
Nottingham Forest8-9-2029-194 Point Deduction
Luton Town6-8-2326-31---
Burnley FC5-9-2324-36---
Sheffield United3-7-2716-66---

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Aston Villa19-17-1.52712-7.6327-10-1.417
Brighton & Hove Albion15-20-2.4328-9-1.4727-11-1.395
Crystal Palace20-17.5419-9.50011-8.579
Luton Town22-14-1.60813-5.7229-9-1.500
Manchester City19-18.5148-10.44411-8.579
Manchester United17-20.4599-10.4748-10.444
Newcastle United18-19.48612-7.6326-12.333
Nottingham Forest15-20-2.4325-13-1.28910-7-1.583
Sheffield United19-18.5149-9.50010-9.526
Tottenham Hotspur18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500
West Ham United19-18.51412-7.6327-11.389
Wolverhampton Wanderers18-19.4869-10.4749-9.500

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.