Man City vs. Wolves Prediction, Odds, Pick | Premier League Match Preview

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Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, March 3, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion May 03, 2024, 2:59 PM
  • Man City is a -2.5-goal favorite against Wolves.
  • Wolves shocked Manchester City with a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.
  • Why bettors should expect a low corner output from the visitors.

Seeking their sixth consecutive Premier League win, Manchester City welcomes Wolverhampton Wanderers to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday.ย 

Both teams enter Saturdayโ€™s standalone fixture in good form. City returns home for the first time since April 13, having blown out Brighton and Nottingham Forest 4-0 and 2-0, respectively.ย 

As for Wolves, they earned all three points at home against Luton Town last weekend to end a six-match winless run.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for Saturdayโ€™s fixture.ย 

EPL Betting Odds – Man City vs. Wolves

  • Man City Moneyline: -900
  • Wolves Moneyline: +2200
  • Draw Moneyline: +950
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (-125/-110)

EPL Prediction – Man City vs. Wolves

Wolves Under 2.5 Corners (-145)

When Wolves are required to face a title threat this season, they struggle to clear this number.ย 

Although itโ€™s only a four-match sample, theyโ€™ve stayed under this number three times against Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool.ย 

The lone success came at home, where Wolves generally show more attacking interest and garner a higher corner account.ย 

Through 18 home matches at Molineux this season, Wolves have accumulated 90 corners. On the road, theyโ€™ve amassed only 56 corner kicks.ย 

Of the aforementioned four-match sample of Wolves matches against title contenders, theyโ€™ve played only once on the road.ย 

That came back on December 2 against Arsenal, who faced a Wolves side with all their attackers healthy.ย 

In that match, manager Gary Oโ€™Neillโ€™s side notched zero corners and only 12 touches in Arsenalโ€™s penalty box.ย 

When Wolves last played Manchester City โ€“ at home โ€“ they didnโ€™t attempt a single corner.ย 

On the other side, this is a Manchester City team that doesnโ€™t surrender many corners when they dominate the ball at home.

Sample nine games at the Etihad in which theyโ€™ve held more than 70% possessions and bettors will find theyโ€™ve held seven teams under this number.ย 

Across all nine games, manager Pep Guardiolaโ€™s side has allowed only 1.67 corners per game, with only one team reaching four (Arsenal).ย 

With Wolves likely to sit back and show little attacking interest, lay the price on them to finish under 2.5 corners.ย 

Man City Formย 

April 28 at Nottingham Forest: 2-0, W

April 25 at Brighton: 4-0, W

April 20 vs. Chelsea: 1-0, W (FA Cup)

April 17 vs. Real Madrid: 1-1, D (Champions League)

April 13 vs. Luton Town: 5-1, W

Wolves Form

April 27 vs. Luton Town: 2-1, W

April 24 vs. Bournemouth: 0-1, L

April 20 vs. Arsenal: 0-2, L

April 13 at Nottingham Forest: 2-2, D

April 6 vs. West Ham United: 1-2, L

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.