Arsenal vs. Manchester United Prediction, Odds, Pick | EPL

Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes, celebrates after scoring the opening goal with a penalty kick during an English Premier League soccer match between Manchester United and Everton at the Old Trafford stadium in Manchester, England, Saturday, March 9, 2024.
(AP Photo/Dave Thompson)
  • Arsenal is a -1.5-goal favorite against Manchester United.
  • Arsenal has won two straight against United, including 3-1 home win this season.
  • Why bettors should expect the Arsenal attack to run rampant.

Itโ€™s the marquee match of this Premier League weekend as Arsenal head north to Old Trafford to face Manchester United.ย 

Arsenal have won four league matches on the bounce and have kept three clean sheets.ย 

Conversely, United have won only two matches since March and lost 4-0 on Monday to Crystal Palace.ย 

The last time these sides met, Arsenal bossed United 3-1 at home, their second consecutive win against United. Hereโ€™s a look at the EPL odds and my prediction for the second meeting.ย 

EPL Betting Odds – Arsenal vs. Manchester United

  • Arsenal Moneyline: -250
  • Manchester United Moneyline: +575
  • Draw Moneyline: +425
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (-110/-125)

Premier League Prediction – Arsenal vs. Manchester United

Two-Leg ML Parlay: Newcastle United & Arsenal (+115) | Arsenal Team Total Over 2.5 Goals (+100)

To close the loop on my Newcastle vs. Brighton Prediction, I love using Arsenal as a parlay piece this week.ย 

Two systems lead me to make that claim.ย 

First is that over the last three seasons, road favorites off a multi-goal win as favorites that won the previous head-to-head meeting are 54-24 SU.ย 

Additionally, dogs off a loss by three or more goals are 0-44 SU against the three-way moneyline, assuming their opponent won by three or more in their last game.ย 

In theory, United could eke out a draw on Sunday, but theyโ€™ll have to do it against an Arsenal team thatโ€™s 23-6 SU as a favorite this season.ย 

From there, Iโ€™ll add the Arsenal team total against a vulnerable United defense.ย 

Unitedโ€™s three preferred central defenders โ€” Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez and Raphael Varane โ€” all remain sidelined with injuries, as does left-back Luke Shaw.ย 

That will put them in trouble against Arsenal, who created 2.3 expected goals in the reverse fixture and scored three times.ย 

United has also looked vulnerable of late against weaker attacks. Since March, United has played nine league matches and surrendered 2.32 expected goals per 90 minutes.ย 

In those nine matches, five have cleared three expected goals.ย 

Sample five matches this season against Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City and bettors will find three of five cleared this number with United allowing 3.1 xG per 90 minutes.ย 

Although that sample includes two penalty kicks, this is still a United team that allowed 1.7 xG to Crystal Palace on Monday.ย 

Arsenal have cleared this number in all five matches against teams 15th or worse in npxGA per 90 minutes, so Iโ€™ll back them to do it against the 16th-ranked side.ย 

Arsenal Formย 

May 4 vs. Bournemouth: 3-0, W

April 28 at Tottenham: 3-2, W

April 23 vs. Chelsea: 5-0, W

April 20 at Wolves: 2-0, W

April 17 at Bayern Munich: 0-1, L (Champions League)

Manchester United Form

May 6 at Crystal Palace: 0-4, L

April 27 vs. Burnley: 1-1, D

April 24 vs. Sheffield United: 4-2, W

April 21 vs. Coventry City: 3-3, D (FA Cup)

April 13 at Bournemouth: 2-2, D

Upcoming EPL Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667

Soccer Odds at BetMGM

With around-the-clock matches throughout the year, there’s never a break in soccer betting action at BetMGM.

You can view updated soccer odds for the Champions League, MLS, World Cup, and other leagues and events around the world.

Sign in to your account today โ€” or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome offer โ€” to start betting. And always check your new account for updated sportsbook promos and bonuses.

Visit the sportsbook today to place your bet online!

jamie-foxx-latest-promo-9-24
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.