Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

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Nottingham Forest's Taiwo Awoniyi, center, celebrates after scoring the opening goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge stadium in London, Saturday, May 13, 2023.
(AP Photo/Kirsty Wigglesworth)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Aug 30, 2024, 12:45 PM
  • Nottingham Forest is predicted to be a -0.5-goal favorite against Wolves.
  • Three straight meetings between these sides have cashed the draw moneyline.
  • I predict the likeliest outcome is a Nottingham Forest victory.

Nottingham Forest will look to extend their positive start to the season as they welcome Wolves to The City Ground on Saturday.ย 

Nuno Espirito Santoโ€™s side dominated Southampton on Matchday 2. They only won 1-0, but the visitors won the expected goals battle 2.5-0.15 as road underdogs.ย 

Wolves, meanwhile, lost their second straight game to open the season. As home dogs to Chelsea, Gary Oโ€™Neilโ€™s side fell 6-2 at Molineux.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for Saturdayโ€™s match.ย 

Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves Odds, Premier League

  • Nottingham Forest Moneyline: +100
  • Wolves Moneyline: +260
  • Draw Moneyline: +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-140/+100)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-160), No (+110)

Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves Prediction: Moneyline

My prediction for Saturdayโ€™s match is the Nottingham Forest Moneyline (+100). However, this qualifies as a lean for me.ย 

Forest matches a historically profitable system, but Iโ€™m required to add a major caveat.ย 

Since 2012, home favorites priced between +150 and -135 that last played a road game are 61.1% SU, assuming the visitor posted between a -8 and -3 goal differential in their last game.ย 

Those teams also earn points at an 85% rate within that 94-match sample, so Nottingham Forest Spread (+0.5, -350) is a good parlay piece.ย 

Now for the caveat: that system generally works better later in the season.ย 

In games 2-18, the favorite is 54.9% SU and 84.3% against +0.5. In games 19-38, the home favorite rises to 68.2% SU and 88.4% against +0.5.ย 

Two more factors suggest a bet on Forest.ย 

First is that both teams will play on short rest following a midweek League Cup match. However, Forest plays at home, while Wolves have to travel with only two prep days.ย 

Additionally, Nottingham Forest bossed the previous meeting.ย 

The match finished 2-2, but Forest won the expected goals battle 1.92-1.09 and the post-shot expected goals battle 2.27-1.53, per fotmob.com.ย 

That marks two straight games at home where Forest have won both the xG and psxG battle by at least 0.75 against Wolves.ย 

But, given the relative difficulty of Wolvesโ€™ schedule thus far, Iโ€™m going to pass on this match with a lean to Nottingham Forest.ย 

Nottingham Forest Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 24 at Southampton: 1-0, W
  • Aug. 17 vs. Bournemouth: 1-1, D
  • Aug. 8 vs. Olympiacos: 4-3, W (Friendly)
  • Aug. 2 vs. Villarreal: 0-0, D (Friendly)
  • July 26 at Elche: 0-1, L (Friendly)

Wolves Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 25 vs. Chelsea: 2-6, L
  • Aug. 17 at Arsenal: 0-2, L
  • Aug. 10 vs. Rayo Vallecano: 0-1, L (Friendly)
  • Aug. 3 at RB Leipzig: 3-0, W (Friendly)
  • July 31 at Crystal Palace: 1-3, L (Friendly)

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Nottingham Forest odds and Wolverhampton Wanderers odds!

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667
EPL Odds

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.