Tottenham vs. Brentford Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 18, 2024, 9:26 PM
  • Tottenham is predicted to be a -1.5-goal favorite against Brentford.
  • Brentford has earned points in four of the last five meetings.
  • I predict Tottenham earn all three points in a high-scoring contest.

With both teams coming off league losses, Tottenham meets Brentford on Saturday in North London.ย 

Spurs fell 1-0 to cross-town rivals Arsenal on Sunday while Brentford, who took a 1-0 lead early, lost to Manchester City 2-1.ย 

Tottenham beat Brentford 3-2 in the last meeting, but theyโ€™ve historically struggled against the Bees. Before that win, Tottenham went winless in four against the Bees.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the Premier League odds and my Tottenham vs. Brentford prediction.ย 

Tottenham vs. Brentford Odds, Premier League

  • Tottenham Moneyline: -200
  • Brentford Moneyline: +450
  • Draw Moneyline: +380
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+100/-140)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-190), No (+130)

Tottenham vs. Brentford Prediction: Moneyline + Propย 

My Tottenham vs. Brentford prediction is the Tottenham Moneyline & Both Teams to Score (+150).ย 

The last time these teams met, everything was set up for Brentford to perform well.ย 

Tottenham played at home on short rest while Brentford had 11 days between games.ย ย 

It did not go well.ย 

Brentford lost the match 3-2 while allowing three expected goals.ย 

Ohโ€ฆand it came against a Spurs team with no Heung-Min Son and Oliver Skipp in defensive midfield.ย 

Ahead of Saturdayโ€™s fixture, Brentford are dealing with an injury crisis.ย 

Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey, Mathias Jensen and Yoanne Wissa are all out on Saturday.ย 

Plus, Tottenham matches a historically profitable system.ย 

Since 2012, favorites between -205 and -105 in games 2-14 are 79-21 SU (79%), assuming three factors:

  • The opponentโ€™s previous game margin fell between -4 and +0
  • The previous head-to-head result was +0 or +1
  • The previous game the opponent was the underdog

When those teams are at home, they improve to 37-8 SU. When the opponent is coming off a loss, the favorite improves to 57-14 SU.ย 

All of that said, I donโ€™t trust Tottenhamโ€™s defense to keep a clean sheet.ย 

Both teams to score has cashed in four straight meetings between these clubs, and Brentford still has Bryan Mbeumo to create chances.ย 

Since the 2022 EPL campaign, Brentford has scored in 76% of games with Mbeumo in the lineup.ย 

Just last season, Brentford created 1.5 non-penalty xG per 90 minutes against Spurs, so Iโ€™ll back them to score on Saturday.

Tottenham Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Sept. 18 at Coventry: 2-1, W (EFL Cup)
  • Sept. 15 vs. Arsenal: 0-1, L
  • Sept. 1 at Newcastle United: 1-2, L
  • Aug. 24 vs. Everton: 4-0, W
  • Aug. 19 at Leicester City: 1-1, D

Brentford Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Sept. 17 vs. Leyton Orient: 3-1, W (EFL Cup)
  • Sept. 14 at Man City: 1-2, L
  • Aug. 31 vs. Southampton: 3-1, W
  • Aug. 28 at Colchester: 1-0, W (EFL Cup)
  • Aug. 25 at Liverpool: 0-2, L

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Tottenham odds and Brentford odds!

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667
EPL Odds

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.