- The Ravens are -3.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on ESPN | ABC
The Baltimore Ravens (4-2-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2-0) on Oct. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Ravens vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Ravens | -3.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -190 |
Buccaneers | +3.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +155 |
Ravens vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 64.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bucky Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Chase McLaughlin has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored first in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 3-2 (+0.85 Units / 12.69% ROI).
- Ravens are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -11.11% ROI
- Ravens are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Ravens are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 26.06% ROI
- Buccaneers are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Buccaneers are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .417.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Buccaneers were winless (0-7) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Buccaneers were 7-1 (.875) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .631.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .145.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 31 times since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 55% of plays against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 10% of the time (2 Pass Attempts/20 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Ravens have averaged 0.24 epa per play on motion plays this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers have thrown for 15 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Buccaneers have faced a blitz 38% of the time on 3rd and short this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Buccaneers have run successful plays on 61% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Buccaneers ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a base front in Week 6 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense has allowed 16 of 104 (15%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Ravens defense has allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Ravens defense has allowed 88 of 104 (85%) first downs through the air (85%) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Ravens defense has allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 31% of plays this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed a passer rating of just 25.3 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
The Buccaneers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 38.6 with a stacked front (22 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.5.
The Buccaneers defense allowed an average of 1.5 yards after contact per carry (349 carries) to RBs last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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