Akron vs W Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Western Michigan's Anthony Sambucci plays during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022, in Kalamazoo, Mich. (AP Photo/Al Goldis)
(AP Photo/Al Goldis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:10 PM
  • The W Michigan is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Akron
  • The Akron vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Akron Zips (1-5) visit Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (2-3) on Oct. 12 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

W Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Akron vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+9.5 -11053.5 -110+260
Western Michigan -9.5 -11053.5 -110-350

Akron vs Western Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 74.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI).

  • Akron is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Akron is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 54.55% ROI
  • Akron is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -60% ROI

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Akron is 1-12 (.071) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .544

Akron is 1-14 (.062) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .486

Akron is 2-13 (.125) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397

Akron is 2-11 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Western Michigan is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .486

Western Michigan is 4-11 (.267) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Western Michigan is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Western Michigan is 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Western Michigan

Western Michigan’s WRs have just 135.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed just 142.4 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs have just 135.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed just 201.0 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s RBs has 2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-8th-best among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.7 rushing touchdowns per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron has averaged just 9.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s RBs has rushed for 1,136 yards on 268 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron WRs have averaged a touchdown every 25.4 receptions (229 Rec/9 TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

Akron has averaged just 9.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.2 receptions (378 Rec/17 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Akron’s RBs has rushed for 1,136 yards on 268 carries (just 4.2 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan’s WRs have just 135.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed just 142.4 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs have just 135.1 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed just 201.0 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.5 receptions (28 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Western Michigan WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (15 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

Western Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 46 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.5

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.7

Akron has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0

Akron has allowed 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-most in FBS

Akron has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 108 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Akron has allowed first downs on 55% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23%

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan allowed 4 TD passes last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Western Michigan has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.7

Western Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (33 completions/69 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Western Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (9 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 55%

Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.4


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