- The Alabama is a -23.5 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
- The Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) on Oct. 5 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-105).
The Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -23.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | -2500 |
| Vanderbilt | +23.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | +1100 |
Alabama vs Vanderbilt Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Alabama vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Vanderbilt vs Alabama and all games with BetMGM
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Vanderbilt Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vanderbilt have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 30% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Diego Pavia has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Alabama is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.39% ROI
- Alabama is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI
- Alabama is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI
Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Vanderbilt is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Vanderbilt is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 10.09% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
- Vanderbilt is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt
Alabama is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .682
Alabama is 13-1 (.929) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .670
Alabama is undefeated (8-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .603
Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Vanderbilt is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616
Vanderbilt is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .545
Vanderbilt is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Vanderbilt is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .362
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s RBs has rushed for 1,190 yards on 292 carries (just 4.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Alabama’s defense have allowed just 4.0 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 99 attempts this season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.2% of attempts this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.
Alabama has 279 receptions in 18 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
Alabama has 279 receptions in 18 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 23.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs have averaged 57.5 yards per reception (115 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 17.9
Alabama WRs have averaged 30.4 yards per reception (609 yards/20 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.4
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (771 yards/35 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (771 yards/35 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (771 yards/35 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.1
Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s RBs has rushed for 1,190 yards on 292 carries (just 4.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Alabama’s defense have allowed just 4.0 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs has 21 receptions in 4 games (5.2 per game) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s RBs has rushed for 1,190 yards on 292 carries (just 4.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Alabama’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards last week– most in the SEC
Alabama has allowed first downs on 11% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in FBS; Average: 34%
Alabama has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 5 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (83 completions/157 attempts) this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 60%
Alabama allowed 385.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 223.6
Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends
Vanderbilt has not forced a fumble (132 carries) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.6
Vanderbilt has not forced a fumble (132 carries) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 33.9
Vanderbilt has not forced a fumble (132 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 41.5
Vanderbilt has allowed 61 TDs since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.6
Vanderbilt has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.
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