Arizona vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:11 PM
  • The BYU is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Arizona
  • The Arizona vs. BYU Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Arizona Wildcats (3-2) visit LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on the BYU Cougars (5-0) on Oct. 12 in Provo, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

BYU is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Arizona vs. BYU Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona+5.5 -11049.5 -110+180
BYU -5.5 -11049.5 -110-225

Arizona vs BYU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and BYU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arizona vs BYU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+12.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Chase Roberts has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Darius Lassiter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Keanu Hill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).

  • Arizona is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 0.71% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Arizona is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 89.89% ROI).

  • BYU is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 133.85% ROI
  • BYU is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • BYU is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Arizona is undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .682

Arizona is 12-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .644

Arizona is undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .737

Arizona is 9-3 (.692) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .543

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

BYU is undefeated (8-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .670

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .360

BYU is undefeated (8-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .599

BYU is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632

Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. BYU

BYU’s RBs has rushed for 1,645 yards on 367 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense have allowed just 3.8 YPC since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU has 13 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 4th-fewest among Big 12 skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 4th-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has averaged 5.6 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has 288 receptions in 18 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has 288 receptions in 18 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,361 passing yards in 5 games (272.2 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 171.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona WRs have averaged 26.7 yards per reception (187 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 15.4

Arizona’s WRs has 288 receptions in 18 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has 288 receptions in 18 games (16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,361 passing yards in 5 games (272.2 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 171.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 1,361 passing yards in 5 games (272.2 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS teams. BYU’s defense has allowed just 171.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (612 yards/66 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.6

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (424 yards/52 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (424 yards/52 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (424 yards/52 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2

BYU Skill Players have just one touchdown on 38 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.4

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 13 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 13 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.

Arizona has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 7 carries on 3rd and long this season– T-best in the Big 12; Average: 24%

Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 46 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 27th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 102 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU opponents has averaged 56.7 Passing Attempts per TD (170 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 20.5

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU has averaged a sack every 27.5 pass attempts (578 Pass Attempts/21 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.0

BYU allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 61 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%

BYU has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 15 of 89 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.