- The Utah is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Arizona
- The Arizona vs. Utah Total(Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Arizona Wildcats (2-1) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes (4-0) on Sep. 28 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.
Utah is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).
The Arizona vs. Utah Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Arizona vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona | +11.5 -115 | 47.5 -110 | +340 |
| Utah | -11.5 -105 | 47.5 -110 | -450 |
Arizona vs Utah Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 81.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Utah, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona vs Utah Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 1% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Utah Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Money Parks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arizona is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Arizona is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arizona is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.59% ROI).
- Utah is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 9.22% ROI
- Utah is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Utah is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Arizona is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604
Arizona is 11-3 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .620
Arizona is 8-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .619
Arizona is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Utah is 10-2 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .656
Utah is 12-4 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Utah is 11-4 (.733) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .535
Utah is 10-1 (.909) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .685
Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. Utah
Utah’s TEs has gained 278 yards on 19 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 8.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah’s TEs has gained 278 yards on 19 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah has gained 896 yards on 66 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 863 passing yards in 3 games (287.7 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 863 passing yards in 3 games (287.7 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has 7 receptions in 3 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 13.5 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 25.3 yards per reception (152 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.6
Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 863 passing yards in 3 games (287.7 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 25.3 yards per reception (152 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 25.3 yards per reception (152 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.5
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 863 passing yards in 3 games (287.7 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah Skill Players have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (93 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.9
Utah TEs have averaged 17.4 yards per reception (191 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0
Utah Skill Players have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (87 yards/3 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Utah TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes this season– most among FBS Teams
Utah Skill Players have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (87 yards/3 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 7 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Arizona has allowed opponents to catch 10 of 12 passes (83% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 55%
Arizona has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 7 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 40 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (10 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 53%
Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has allowed 85.4 rushing yards per game (1,451/17) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 149.6
Utah has allowed just 3.1 Yards per Carry (1,451 yards/464 carries) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.3
Utah has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (49/539) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Utah has allowed first downs on 16% of rush attempts since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Utah has allowed 113.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 144.7
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