- The Missouri is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
- The Auburn vs. Missouri Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Auburn Tigers (2-4) visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on the Missouri Tigers (5-1) on Oct. 19 in Columbia, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Auburn vs. Missouri Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Auburn vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Auburn | +4.5 -110 | 50.5 -105 | +160 |
| Missouri | -4.5 -110 | 50.5 -115 | -190 |
Auburn vs Missouri Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Missouri, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Auburn vs Missouri Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Auburn is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -22.85% ROI
- Auburn is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Auburn is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI).
- Missouri is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 0.66% ROI
- Missouri is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Missouri is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
Auburn is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Auburn is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Auburn is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499
Auburn is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .307
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Missouri is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Missouri is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .438
Missouri is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .591
Missouri is 16-1 (.941) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .613
Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Missouri
Missouri’s offense has averaged just 1.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS offenses. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 174 attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s offense has thrown for 1,674 passing yards in 6 games (279.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 154.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s offense has averaged 2.7 passing TDs per game this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn WRs have averaged 24.1 yards per reception (361 yards/15 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.3
Auburn WRs have averaged 24.1 yards per reception (169 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.9
Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 174 attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Auburn WRs have averaged 24.1 yards per reception (361 yards/15 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri Skill Players have averaged just 7.5 yards per reception (210 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.8
Missouri TEs have averaged just 5.3 yards per reception (16 yards/3 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 10.4
Missouri Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.3
Missouri’s offense has averaged just 1.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS offenses. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri TEs have averaged just 4.0 yards per reception (20 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn has allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC
Auburn has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 3.5
Auburn has allowed 5 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most in the SEC
Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 13 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 13 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best in the SEC; Average: 12%.
Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 12 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 12 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 12%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 80 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 12 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Missouri allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
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