- C Michigan is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Ball State
- Ball State vs. Central Michigan Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Ball State Cardinals (1-1) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (1-2) on Sep. 21 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.
C Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +6.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +185 |
| Central Michigan | -6.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -225 |
Ball State vs Central Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 61.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Central Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 29% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ball State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ball State Player Prop Bets Today
- Qian Magwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Central Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Central Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jesse Prewitt III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chris Parker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ball State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 66.67% ROI
- Ball State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ball State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
C Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- Central Michigan is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Central Michigan is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Central Michigan is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan
Ball State is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Ball State is winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .241
Ball State is 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
Ball State is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Central Michigan is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Central Michigan is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Central Michigan is 3-6 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Central Michigan is 3-9 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .392
Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Central Michigan
No notes available for this game
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.1% of 375 attempts since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 71 attempts this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State have just 182.5 receiving yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 152.3 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (1,966 yards/220 catches) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Ball State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 31.5 receptions (252 Rec/8 TDs) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.1% of 375 attempts since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (19 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 71 attempts this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan TEs have been targeted 5 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Central Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 59 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.7
Central Michigan RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (293 yards/80 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Central Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 16.1 receptions per game (241/15) since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Central Michigan QBs have averaged 193.5 Passing Yards per game (2,902/15) since the 2023 season– 28th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 229.1
Ball State Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State has not recorded a sack (58 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.8
Ball State has allowed 10.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,070 yards / 103 touches) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 6.5
Ball State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 84 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9
Ball State has no interceptions (84 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5
Ball State did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan has no interceptions (68 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5
Central Michigan has forced 4 fumbles on 517 carries (129.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.3
Central Michigan has allowed 15 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most in FBS
Central Michigan has intercepted 10 of 767 attempts (76.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 37.3
Central Michigan has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
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